Saturday, January 18, 2025

The man says illegal immigrants will be deported, not imported, so will he do so? And, if so, what impacts will citizens see?

Two searches:

https://duckduckgo.com/?q=illegal+migrant+labor+into+u.s.+unskilled+which+economic+sectors&t=ffab&ia=web 

https://duckduckgo.com/?t=ffab&q=projected+inflation+from+deporting+illegal+immigrants&ia=web

Run those yourself, and see which returned items ring your bell. One thing Musk's shit-fit assured us, deportions will not be skilled H-1B high tech wage breakers.

One returned item dated - https://www.visualcapitalist.com/the-u-s-industries-that-rely-most-on-illegal-immigration/ stating -

Over Six Million Undocumented Workers

The U.S. is estimated to have over six million undocumented workers across various industries.

Construction has the highest concentration of undocumented workers, who make up 13.7% of its workforce.

IndustryIllegal Immigrant WorkersShare of Workforce
1. Construction1,544,60013.7%
2. Agriculture244,70012.7%
3. Hospitality1,002,2007.1%
4. General Services500,8006.5%
5. Wholesale Trade193,4005.5%
6. Transportation and Warehousing460,5005.5%
7. Manufacturing870,4005.4%
8. Professional Services970,8004.7%
9. Retail Trade708,5003.9%
10. Mining and Extraction22,1003.6%

Agriculture relies heavily on undocumented labor, with these workers constituting 12.7% of its labor force.

Hospitality employs over one million undocumented immigrants, representing 7.1% of its workforce.

 If you think for one minute that Trump will deport any human being from his hotels' labor force you are one certain fucking fool. That said, enjoy your grocery prices.

The Crabgrass guess - a flight or several of actual criminals and then tapering off with Homan, Stephen Miller, and their new hires still getting their paychecks for posturing. Because Trump likes them and because of appearances. Only a guess, nobody knows for certain.

........................................

UPDATE: If you like comparative charts, the Cato Institute in a Nov 2023 item gives you charts. So check out: https://www.cato.org/blog/us-labor-market-explains-most-increase-illegal-immigration

The charts in general show Bush era and Biden era illegal immigration levels were above Trump and Obama eras. Biden's being highest. With the layoffs now happening, laid off workers might have to replace deportees, making beds and picking melons in the hot sun. Laid off labor which voted Trump might feel resentment, with Trump not being their retribution. 

Day One Soon.

FURTHER: Union trades might do better if construction workers are deported, which might happen, but if we have a housing crisis now, construction costs will go up on any new housing built; while deported renters will make current landlords adjust. It is an uncertain possible trade-off. Long term, after the next four years and onward, who knows?