Monday, November 02, 2026

Hello Donald J. Trump. You have friends who like your never ending warfare, with cause to see it drag on. And on. And on.

 AJ reporting -

How US oil firms profit $130bn from Iran war as household bills surge

As energy from the Gulf and Russia take a hit, American oil and gas firms are the big gainers. The biggest losers: consumers around the world

 By Federica Marsi -- Published On 2 Nov 2026

United States oil companies have earned more than $130bn in profits during the war on Iran, even as consumers pay much higher prices for key commodities, amid fears that US President Donald Trump may renew fighting after midterm elections.

The estimate, released by The New York Times, is a conservative evaluation based on the performance of 51 large US oil and gas companies in the six months from April through September. By contrast, in the same period in 2025 – when the prices of oil were lower prior to the launch of the US-Israel war on Iran – they collectively earned less than $47bn.

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But the gains come as burgeoning living costs are crushing consumers. Americans have spent an extra $150bn on petrol and diesel since the war on Iran began on February 28, according to an analysis by Brown University’s Climate Solutions Lab, which amounts to more than $1,150 per household.

The disparity has fuelled a political debate over who gains and who pays the price for the war. Responding to Trump, Democratic Representative Jim McGovern wrote on X: “We’re not making a ‘freaking fortune,’ we’re PAYING a ‘freaking fortune’.”

US Big Oil in position to profit where others lose

Naser al-Tamimi, a fellow at the Institute for International Political Studies (ISPI) in Milan, Italy, said US energy companies have benefitted from the war in different ways. “Crude producers gain from higher oil prices, while refiners capture exceptional margins as diesel and other fuel supplies tighten,” he said.

Additionally, “damage to Middle Eastern and Russian refineries, disrupted Strait of Hormuz shipments, and sanctions-related trade frictions have intensified shortages”, while “relatively secure US facilities and access to discounted crude strengthen these gains”.

ExxonMobil and Chevron, the biggest US oil companies, on Friday reported profits of between $10bn and $15bn. While the gains are considerable, The New York Times found they generally remained below 2022 levels, when Russia’s invasion of Ukraine caused oil prices to soar to roughly $100 a barrel and raised natural gas prices, compared with the current average of $90 from April through September.

[...] 

Continued pressure over cost of living

Analysts warned of continued volatility until a durable political settlement between the US and Iran is reached. Oil prices dropped briefly in the summer after a memorandum of understanding was signed in June, but prices quickly soared again when talks broke down.

A more recent escalation in fighting between Saudi Arabia and the Houthis has further compounded the crisis: the Bab al-Mandeb strait that connects the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden, which Saudi Arabia uses to export oil, is now also a theatre of war.

“In the short term, windfall profits will only strengthen oil company balance sheets and shareholder returns,” Miller said. “However, the big profits come with a major caveat. That’s because over the longer term, high oil prices risk harming economic growth prospects and could even contribute towards the outbreak of a recession, which would in turn be likely to lead to reduced demand for oil” and accelerate the transition to renewable energy.

Florence Schmit, senior energy strategist at Rabobank’s global economics and markets team in London, said it was likely that the prices of key energy products would remain high given the uncertainty about the duration of the war in Iran.

“Prices in all markets that have an exposure to this global supply shock – which includes the US – will face high prices also next year, and consumers will continue to feel this price pressure unless governments step in,” Schmit told Al Jazeera.

The item continues, and earlier this graphic was part of the post -


 Dylan, early in his career, sang, "You don't need a weatherman to know which way the wind blows."

You don't. So, are you happy with this war, or ready to vote Dem to have a better chance of ending the grotesque profiteering? It may drag on, but it may not. We shall see.

 


AJ reports on a Republican write-in effort in South Carolina.

 It is more against Donald Trump, than against Darlene Graham.

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/11/2/write-in-ralph-south-carolina-republicans-challenge-trumps-senate-pick 

 

 

Sunday, November 01, 2026

Abdul El Sayed needs to win the Michigan Senate race and nothing else happening there should matter. He is a Dem and he is a progressive. [UPDATED]

There's stuff happening (e.g., Dem's staff resigns as she 'sells her soul' to endorse swing state MAGA Senate candidate + Sanders feuds with AIPAC over last-minute Rogers donations). AIPAC has a lot of money, and buys what it can for political advantage. 

Days ago, Times of Israel published -

Michigan GOP Senate candidate Mike Rogers said to ask AIPAC not to campaign on his behalf

As pro-Israel lobby group becomes increasingly unpopular across US politics, Axios says aides for Rogers warned its involvement would be detrimental to defeating Abdul El-Sayed

 

 

Politico: "Space Force scrambles as Musk’s SpaceX retires its major rocket. Other rocket-makers have faced delays getting their vehicles up and running, leaving the Pentagon in a bind. "

https://www.politico.com/news/2026/10/22/space-force-spacex-rocket-musk-01131131 

The Crabgrass headline gives the item's own headline. In part -

SpaceX is by far the dominant player in the rocket business and indispensable to the military, dwarfing competitors and accounting for 85% of U.S. launches in 2025. The company is phasing out its Falcon 9 rocket to make way for Starship, a massive new vehicle that SpaceX says will be more efficient and profitable, but which many military satellites aren’t designed to fit.

The situation leaves the Space Force in a launch crunch that could affect the military’s ability to put its advanced satellites in orbit — and on time. The Pentagon has few alternatives to ferry its equipment, and SpaceX’s competitors are likely years away from being able to offer comparable services.

“Everybody’s having problems, so the Space Force is freaking out a little bit about launch,” said one former Space Force official, who, like others, was granted anonymity to discuss the sensitive issue.

It also highlights the scale of Musk’s company’s footprint and the way its business decisions can affect the security of countries including the United States. From the battlefield in Ukraine, where Kyiv is dependent on his Starlink satellite internet service, to cutting-edge artificial intelligence and SpaceX’s stranglehold over the pathways to orbit, the world’s first trillionaire has a direct hand in the technology that will shape the future.

The Space Force recently tried to book rides for three future satellite missions, but SpaceX declined to offer its services, according to two people familiar with the missions. No other rocket companies offered to take them either, the people said.

A top official at the Space Force downplayed the problem about finding rockets to launch military satellites.

“I wouldn’t say there [are] missions I’m worried about being able to fly; I would say we’re working through the right way to support those customers,” said Brig. Gen. Eric Zarybnisky, the Space Force’s acting portfolio acquisition executive for space access.

But Zarybnisky acknowledged growing pains for the government and space industry as demand for rockets increases. “Temporarily, there are some things we’ll need to work through, again, as we get new providers flying,” he said.

There is more detail in the original, again, here. 

 

 

Homeland Security Dept. is buying Boston Dynamics' robot dogs. Some BD employees have officially objected.

 https://arstechnica.com/ai/2026/10/boston-dynamics-employees-want-to-block-sale-of-robot-dogs-to-ice/

 

Saturday, October 31, 2026

In a 10/28/2026 overly long sophistry filing in the Fraud of the Century case DOJ begs a circuit court to overturn the sanctions they earned against themselves in putting a collusive case into a federal court - the $1.776 billion slush fund for Jan 6 offenders thing Trump tried to get away with but with the Court seeing through the egregious fraud. No real case or controversy. Just a stinker Trump cooked up from whole cloth. Todd Blanche dutifully going along instead of showing a spine.

 Trumpian putzery got what it deserved, and over 60 pages filed by DOJ assertinng otherwise is just fluff.

https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.ca11.97154/gov.uscourts.ca11.97154.89.0.pdf 

That link is to the court filing from whichever hat Trump filed it from, plaintiff or defendant, he being both in the sham. 

MSN republished an analytical text, here, titled Legal and factual errors: DOJ asks 11th Circuit to undo sanctions issued over Trump's failed effort to secure anti-weaponization fund

 That item stated in part:

The U.S. Department of Justice wants a federal court of appeals to unwind sanctions issued by a lower court over the Trump administration's failed gambit to collect $1.776 billion from taxpayers for President Donald Trump's planned "anti-weaponization fund."

In a 64-page appellate brief, DOJ official R. Trent McCotter complains that the sanctions issued in the case are "unprecedented" and "based on a bevy of clear legal and factual errors."

In January, Trump filed his original lawsuit against the IRS. By May, the case was closed — on the plaintiff's own request — with the 45th and 47th president opting instead for a publicly subsidized fund earmarked for pro-Trump stalwarts and others similarly situated.

[...] In July, Williams found the president's attorneys filed a "non-adversarial, collusive" lawsuit to "manipulate the judicial process" and improperly force the IRS into a settlement that "had no viable basis in law or fact." In turn, the court put Trump and his legal team on the hook for attorneys fees of nonparty amici who opposed the lawsuit.

Now, the DOJ is asking the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 11th Circuit to reverse the sanctions order — which the agency claims is "riddled with legal and factual errors" — and reassign the case to a different judge.

"To start, the District Court's theory—that Plaintiffs brought this litigation 'to provide cover for a collusive settlement'—makes no sense," the brief reads. [...] 

To hear the government tell it, "[m]uch of" the district court's order "consists of an incorrect analysis" that concluded the parties "were not sufficiently adverse" for constitutional jurisdiction.

The brief argues that Williams "brushed aside the facts" that Trump sued in his personal capacity but not his official capacity.

The government also says the fact that the anti-weaponization fund did not ultimately materialize works against the sanctions.

[...] The DOJ goes on to say that even "if there were anything to" the "collusion theory," sanctions would not have been proper.

Here, the government takes issue with a gag order that bars the IRS and Treasury Department "from referring to the purported" settlement "or using, offering, admitting, or citing any of its provisions in any judicial, administrative, regulatory, arbitration, or any other official proceeding as evidence of" a settlement.

"The IRS and Treasury never represented anything to (or otherwise took action in) the District Court," the appellate brief continues. "The court identified no authority to sanction them anyway—least of all in the form of a gag order—for entering a private settlement, which is a decision committed to agency discretion by law. There is none. The District Court's Order is unsupportable and must be reversed."

In light of what the government views as an "extraordinary" order that "cannot stand," the DOJ wants Williams off the case, accusing the judge of "seemingly intentionally" violating the rules of civil procedure "for the purpose of inflicting political damage on Executive Branch officials."

The thing seems so outrageous as to cite to a known idiot: 

The DOJ quotes Rep. Jim Jordan, a Republican representing Ohio, to argue that Williams' order "appears to be an abuse of judicial authority and motivated by partisan animus" and that the court "unnecessarily maligned Attorney General Blanche."

Blanche earned the scorn he got and Jim Jordan saying otherwise is worth a bucket of shit. 

"The District Court's actions have rightfully already given rise to the view among reasonable members of the public that the District Court was acting in an improper political manner," the brief argues. "This Court need not conclude that the District Court's actions were improperly motivated, but rather only that reasonable members of the public would view them that way."

Crabgrass has reasonable readers who are members of the public, and doubts any single one of them thinks the sanctions wrong. It was a bullshit move by Trump and he deserves all the scorn imaginable for doing such a dumb thing, while Blanche proved himself bereft of good judgment by not saying no to taking a part in the fraud.

(Crabgrass may have "opposition" readers who contend the sanctions were wrong, but that position is unreasonable and stinking of unfettered bias. The reasonable readers agree with me.) 



Imagine Minnesota with a Republican AG. Who'd be there to question the ICE bailing out of the two nationwide private prison enterprises, giving away inflated amounts for used, or fallow shut-down facilities.?

 Crabgrass doing search = keith ellison ice buying private prisons at inflated prices turned up two local media outlet reports on Ellison highlighting for the nation that something greatly suspect was going on. (Crabghrass cannot reasonably envision any such fiscal oversight from a Republican AG. Minnesota has its Trump appointed U.S. Attorney, where nothing of the private prison price inflation scandal has been mentioned. Not a peep.)

There is -

MN AG Keith Ellison says Congress should investigate Federal Government’s purchase of Appleton Prison

Fargo, ND, USA / The Mighty 790 KFGO | KFGO -- Nate Coen -- Oct 30, 2026
 

ST. PAUL, Minn. (KFGO) – Minnesota Attorney General Keith Ellison is calling on congress to investigate the Federal Government’s $495 million purchase of an out-of-service prison in Appleton, Minnesota.

Ellison says around a year and a half ago the company that owned the prison, CoreCivic, offered to sell it to the state of Minnesota for $75 million. In August, the Federal Government bought the prison for nearly half a billion dollars with plans to operate it as an ICE detention center.

Minnesota Corrections Commissioner Paul schnell turned down the offer to buy the prison in May of 2025, he says the federal governments payment of over six-times the price of $75 million is unexplainable.

Ellison says that CoreCivic and it’s CEO have donated ‘significant amounts’ to President Trump in the past.

Ellison says he’s asking the House and Senate Homeland Security Committees and the House Oversight Committee to investigate why the Federal Government paid over half a billion for the prison.

That is local coverage from Fargo, ND. At the same time, there is MN local coverage.

Minnesota AG Keith Ellison calls on Congress to investigate Dept. of Homeland Security after KARE 11's report on prison sale

KARE 11 obtained records showing that CoreCivic offered to sell the private prison for $75 million last year, before ICE purchased it for $495.6 million.

 In August, DHS purchased the Prairie Correctional Facility from CoreCivic, Inc., to use it as a detention center for U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE). KARE 11 obtained records showing that CoreCivic offered to sell the private prison for $75 million last year, before ICE eventually purchased it for $495.6 million.  

The price difference is more than taxpayers are estimated to have lost in Minnesota’s much-publicized Feeding Our Future fraud scandal. 

“I’m calling on House and Senate Homeland Security Committees, and the House Oversight Committee, to immediately begin investigating why Trump paid almost half a billion to a Trump donor for a prison worth just $75 million," Ellison said in a press release. "Trump scamming taxpayers out of almost half a billion dollars is outrageous, especially at a time when Trump’s tariffs and war in Iran are already raising prices for Minnesotans.”

For the full investigation, click here.

Two things are demonstrated. Without local media with sufficient resources to investigate or cover local suspicious activity, a reliance on national outlets to report things might fail to get relevant news to the public. The second thing, with a Democratic Party AG, the call for investigation by federal authorities got sounded. If Ellison is not reelected, if a Republican gets into Minnesota's Attorney General office, the watchdog function would be neglected over any Republican misdeeds. If Trump is afoot, Minnesota, indeed every state, should have an AG who is not compromised by Party loyalties to Trump. 

A Trump skeptic is needed to assure Trump and hiss underlings do not get away with waste, fraud or abuse.  Indeed, even the appearance of impropriety deserves fiscal oversight to avoid waste.

And, yes, this is a site favoring Democratic Party candidates in general. But beyond that, the argument holds. State AG's of the other party than the one currently in power in Washington will be the watchdogs needed, whereas State AGs of the DC leadership party might look the other way, or simply not see as keen a watchdog duty over their own party's shenanigans in DC. 

BOTTOM LINE: We need Keith Ellison to be reelected this November as Minnesots's Attorney General, to keep a balance that has proven sound in this recent attention to ICE channeling free money to operations which seem grossly overepaid for assets. 

______________UPDATE______________

 You can ask your favorite chatbot, or search online = how widespread is ICE overpaying for private prison sites

Crabgrass did that. NPR reported :

And those arrested with no criminal record rose by over 2,000 percent since Trump took office. That’s according to a report last month from the American Immigration Council. That’s a non-partisan non-profit focused on immigrant rights.

But for private companies invested in the administration’s agenda, that human cost has meant a hefty pay check. The private prison companies CoreCivic and The GEO Group have both reported $2 billion, or a 13 percent increase, in revenue in 2025. The two contractors opened nine new detention centers for ICE use. 

PrisonLegalNews reported: 

Private prison titan The GEO Group handed over $1.4 million to President Donald Trump’s super PAC, MAGA Inc., just days after securing federal detention contracts worth $165 million annually.

Campaign finance filings reveal that GEO Group subsidiary GEO Reentry Services donated $1 million to MAGA Inc. on July 16, 2026, exactly three days after announcing an $85 million annual contract to run a 1,188-bed facility in Hudson, Colorado for federal Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE). On July 31, the company funneled another $413,000 to the PAC, two days after landing an $80 million annual deal for another 1,320-bed site it will operate for ICE in Winton, North Carolina.

Despite White House officials claiming contract awards are not affected by political money, the timing exposes the blatant pay-to-play dynamics governing the mass deportation pipeline. GEO Group’s net income soared to $254.3 million amid the administration’s crackdown, up from $31.9 million in 2024. Company founder George Zoley boasted to investors that this expansion represents the largest surge of new business in the company’s history.

The grift extends deeper into government oversight: David Venturella, a former GEO executive, was appointed to run ICE on an acting basis this year. Meanwhile, facilities managed by GEO Group face severe allegations of substandard conditions, including a detainee hunger strike at Delaney Hall in New Jersey.

As GEO lines its pockets off locking humans in cages, its millions buy direct access to an administration eager to monetize the justice system, proving once again that in the private prison industry, human suffering is merely a channel for political kickbacks.  

https://www.analystnews.org/posts/american-private-prison-executives-are-reveling-in-profiting-off-ice-arrests reports:

During a second-quarter earnings call in August, an executive with the GEO Group ticked off a list of the private prison company’s accomplishments so far this year. These included securing contracts with Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) for expanded immigrant detention centers in New Jersey, Michigan, Georgia, and California; working to convert six facilities—most of them former prisons—into ICE detention sites; and making moves to cash in on detention operations at military sites.

“All of these efforts are aimed at placing our company in the best competitive position possible to pursue what we continue to believe are unprecedented growth opportunities,” George Zoley, the executive chair of the GEO Group board, told investors and other stakeholders attending the Aug. 6 call, according to audio and call transcripts from the online investment research website, Seeking Alpha.

Executives at CoreCivic, another major for-profit prison company, were equally upbeat in their earnings call that same month.

“Our business is perfectly aligned with the demands of this moment,” CEO Damon Hininger said on the Aug. 7 call. “We are in an unprecedented environment with rapid increases in federal detention populations nationwide and a continuing need for solutions we provide.”

In some sense, the cheerfulness was not surprising. The day after President Donald Trump was elected to his second term, shares for GEO Group and CoreCivic jumped by double digits.

It is not some "woke" fluffy speculation that something's up. It is firm factual reporting. Investigations and answers are needed. Shoult the expected "blue wave" result from midterm elections, resultant inquiry can be expected., With media outlets already on the story, we can guess what well funded Congressional investigations might uncover. It is shameful that private prison commerce even exists in the nation, and now it seems there is mischief afoot at large fiscal cost to taxpayers.

___________FURTHER UPDATE___________

The issue is not a new one. The Lever has posted back in March of this year about private prisons and ICE use of same for detention overflow. The pattern of ICE using Big Beautful Bill windfall money to overpay for private facilities is newer; in that the BBB had to have been passed in order to provide the slush money for the mischief. An image of pigs at a trough could be added, but the mind's image should suffice.