Wednesday, May 15, 2024

Klobuchar, with no progressive running a primary challenge, is the clear better choice when facing a Navy vet reported to be fretting over the border and pro-Palestine demonstrations. While the guy's not reported a MAGA full captive, he's not been reported much at all. MinnPost publishes,this week. [UPDATED: The Fraser guy is hating on the Boundary Waters. DOA.]

Klobuchar looks to have no real contest. The MinnPost item notes she'd not had a real contest last time either. 

The Republican's name is Joe Fraser (not Frazier). Google the name. Yeah. If you only google the name you get returns about a British gymnast. 

search = Joe Fraser minnesota

campaign website

Months ago, MPR reported:

A retired Navy commander and political newcomer embarked Tuesday on a U.S. Senate campaign against three-term Democratic Sen. Amy Klobuchar, a race that has drawn little interest from established Republican officeholders.

Joe Fraser, 50, of Minnetrista, said the incumbent deserves a spirited challenge. He traveled to Duluth as part of a kickoff campaign that will be as much about introducing himself.

Fraser, who spent 26 years in naval intelligence, said he has worked in the business and banking sector since leaving the military. Since 2022, he has been president of the Minnesota Council of the Navy League of the United States, a nonprofit civilian group that assists families of people in sea branches of the military.

That career took him all over the world and led to many moves domestically. Fraser moved to Minnesota a few years ago, meaning he wasn’t living here the last time Klobuchar faced voters.

He said he would make border security, inflation and the national debt a campaign focus. And he said he would make Klobuchar’s longevity an issue, too.

“Part of the problem that we get into politics is everybody thinks their seat is safe. That’s not very democratic,” Fraser said. “It drives me nuts when people just assume that the incumbent is going to when you have to earn it. And going for a fourth term is just — that’s a career politician whose biggest objective is just to continue to get reelected.”

[...] Klobuchar’s campaign issued a statement that, in part, said she’s focused on “delivering results for Minnesotans” on drug prices and veterans health care, and that she’s seen as a bipartisan collaborator on Capitol Hill.

[... Fraser]  said he personally opposes abortion but said women deserve to make choices about their care.

And on immigration, he said the borders need to be secure but he also pointed to the positive contributions that newcomers to America can make.

He said President Joe Biden legitimately won and said the Capitol storming by former President Donald Trump’s supporters was “a discredit to the Constitution.”

Unlike current members of Minnesota’s Republican congressional delegation, Fraser wasn’t yet ready to get fully — or at least publicly — behind Trump with the party’s primary season still in progress [in January, when MPR published]. He declined to offer an endorsement in the presidential race with voting ahead of Minnesota’s March 5 primary already in motion.

Not Paul Gosar nor Matt Gaetz, but not a threat to Amy's reelection either. While a Navy vet, he's not Steve Bannon, which cuts well in his favor.

His viewing Klobuchar as a career politician shows a familiarity with politics in Minnesota, while having been elsewhere much of the past during his Navy career.

One particular MPR paragraph is of interest:

 Republicans hope this time is different and plan to use her national ambitions as a campaign messaging point. Fraser brought up Klobuchar’s 2020 White House run in labeling the incumbent as “a failed presidential candidate.”

The Crabgrass view is Klobuchar does not and did not really position herself as presidential, but ran that 2020 campaign as part of the establishments' wanting to vex Elizabeth Warren's campaign ahead of the South Carolina putsch for Biden, where Mayor Pete, Klobuchar, both timely exited the contest while Clyburn came forward to bless Biden. 

It was an inner party will to sidetrack Bernie and Warren, it worked, it was anti-progressive, and this Fraser guy as a Republican seems even more anti-progressive than Amy. Which IS anti-progressive. Minnesotans may love her but she's no progressive. And not presidential. (Among Democratic women Senators, Maria Cantwell is Presidential, while also not particularly progressive.)

__________UPDATE__________

Fraser has a facebook page. A little bit of looking, he'd ruin the BWCA and Rainy River watershed and wild rice waters, over inauspicous mining. A loser that way. And not really a winner any other way. Expect Klobuchar for six more, easily.

_________FURTHER UPDATE_________

Strib just did an item on Fraser. This sinks him unless he were running in a primary against Stauber -

He's also critical of what he views as her lack of support for mining in northern Minnesota and said she's not a vocal advocate for Minnesota jobs. Klobuchar's campaign notes she's been endorsed by the steelworkers union and is a "strong advocate for trade enforcement to stop Chinese steel dumping."

Not here that long, learned to sing Jobs, Jobs, Jobs to whore for Iron Range votes.

Sorry Charlie, you're not the big tuna. Product differentiation, yeah. But no chance.

Strib in reporting says little about Klobuchar, and nothing really new in comparison to posting noted above. Fraser seems better than some Republicans - at least admitting that Biden won 2020, but BWCA is a national gem, the most popular National Park in the nation with tourism booming on the Iron Range because of it. 

Let the billionaire Chileans and Swiss sulfide miners mine elsewhere. There's plenty of untapped ore worldwide. Sulfide mining is poison the way those money grubbers operate on the cheap. Their histories of rape and run mining is not a winning policy position on which a newcomer Minnesota politician should seize. 

Statewide, proposed copper mining in vulnerable environments is unpopular, and a losing game. And the steelworkers back Klobuchar, as Strib noted.

___________FURTHER UPDATE___________

Copper reserves, top five, in a five part series. Remainder of Top 20 (including the U.S. --- we're only No.9 between Congo at 10, India at 8. Let them mine in Afghanistan, it has the 6th greatest reserves, well more than our nation; and not much on an environment to ruin.)

__________FURTHER UPDATE__________

Somebody should clue Fraser into Prove It First conservative thinking - don't do it unless you can prove it will be lifetime trouble free. Not a money sink and threat to waters left for the public to cope with after the mining company's put a lock on the gate because profitability ceases.

Cluing him on that could open his eyes. Turn him into a Democrat. Once enlightened, Friends of the Boundary Waters could use his support.

 


Monday, May 13, 2024

REPUBLICANS - Don't do as they did. Do as they say. That is, if, and only if, you trust them more than you trust your own good judgment and sense of human decency.

 Crabgrass earlier wrote that Biden is being too much a Zionist; from history dating to 1948 and Truman's having Jewish voters and no Arab voters, onward, policy has been Zionist, and AIPAC and other lobbying and money donors have been active. Getting more and more so.

This is not the Israel that negotiated over two states. This is rabid all-for-us coalition action, Netanyahu bad enough, the slobs he has had to take into his ministries to have a coalition are much, much, much worse. Combined they are a rogue government, one so bad that it awakens the moral sense in college students; those most concerned with their future careers and lives and having to pay student loans nonetheless will stand for what's right. And have stood so. Seeing daily evidence of humans starved, killed, maimed and made into homeless refugees forced hither and yon by air dropped leaflets before the bombs fall. Hospitals and schools destroyed. Approaching forty thousand dead Arabs. And Rafah beckons over-the-top foul war mongers.

The Republicans? https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/coons-mccaul-israel-report-weapons-pause/story?id=110134778

Compare: https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/pausing-military-aid-key-tool-presidents-foreign-policy/story?id=110117137  --- which states.

In the summer of 1981, President Reagan held back the delivery of U.S. fighter jets to Israel for two months after it bombed a nuclear reactor in Iraq.

In July 1982, he halted a shipment of cluster shells to Israel over how Israel used the weapons during its invasion of Lebanon. American officials at the time were reviewing if the use of the weapons violated an agreement between the U.S. and Israel.

So ignore that, that was then and today's not the day for Republican kissing the Gipper's ass. So rhetorically flexible they bend over to meet themselves going the other way from their "treasured" history of using might to curb Israeli over exuberance for killing in questionable ways and numbers.

Republicans overlook recent history as well as past actions under their guys. (When their guys used a leash when needed, they silently stood in place.)

Republican whoring that way goes down to their grassroots, e.g., here and here.

Blinken, authoritative in foreign policy over decades of public service, in other administrations and in private consulting before joining Biden's cabinet, himself being Jewish, willingly is point man for doing what moral necessity demands. This is not about Jewishness, it is about the moral limits of how to wage war and yet avoid gross levels of unnecessary civilian carnage. The Israelis simply overstepped bounds, and if we give them yet more heavy bombs they will continue to irresponsibly use them. They are who they are, they are not like earlier Israeli governments, which accepted two state realities and acted, in retrospect, with grater decency.

AND --- These present Republicans are, in an election year, whoring for Jewish votes by standing on Arab corpses waving a Star of David Flag.

They should stop.

BOTTOM LINE: Do you trust these guys?

image link


Sunday, May 12, 2024

Minnesota's Congressional District elections appear to favor party incumbancy. Then there is MN5. Not living there, I nonetheless care. [UPDATED]

 Living in the Sixth District, Emmer is so secure there that he's made Republican Party leadership by being so secure there. It's a circular thing.

In MN5 Ilhan Omar is the incumbent, again this cycle having Don Samuels sniping at the seat. Without giving it too much time since I have no vote there, a few words are merited.

Decisiveness. A great word.

Health care, important to every person on earth. Important in Minnesota.

Taking that focus, and disliking indirection, weasel words, examine campaign websites on - health care.

Don Samuels -

Advancing Healthcare as a Human Right

A vague thing. "Advance," as in a goal. Word search that thing = insurance. He likes it. Mentioning Obama and Klobochar, their approaches being fine to him.

Two things he likes, status and quo. And coattails. Grabbing two. Go status quo, but then move the needle - somewhat?

Ilhan Omar -

"Provide Healthcare Coverage for All

Ilhan will fight for Medicare for All, a single-payer healthcare system that guarantees quality care for every American."
A very specific goal - for ALL. And PROVIDE, not ADVANCE. Decisiveness.
 
Word search Omar's policy/issue presentation for the word "insurance." Not too great a fan, with her seeing a clear better way if only the status quo could be changed. 

BOTTOM LINE: Omar says single payer. Samuels does not. A distinction with a difference.
..........................................

From there readers should look at how each of the two define issues and answers, who is vague, who is precise, who says things are okay but can be better, who says things are problematic and need fixing - and which of those wordings seem more aggressive about moving off current dead center?

Omar is there trying. It's her job. Samuels was on the City Council, and right now is involved in a small nonprofit.

On his "meet Don" page, he does paragraph after paragraph, until, near the end, "Don is the CEO of Microgrants, an organization that targets small grants at individuals and organizations in communities." They've a website, there's a link, so have a look. Financials are given, but a breakout of Samuels' salary level cannot be seen from aggregate numbers. Presumably grants are not given to Samuels, nor to any entity in which he owns an interest, a point without a specific website disclosure or disclaimer. 
 
MicroGrants looks helpful to the community and lists partner organizations.
 
Just saying. the nature of politics suggests that Omar's people have a chance to scrutinize things, there is annual reporting to the AG, and if anything were problematic the opposition would note it. Samuels seems okay. The people backing Samuels likewise are expected to have done due diligence vetting. There already was the last election, with no personal questions about any money improprieties, either side.

And the primary, in CD5, is the election. The general is a coronation of the primary winner, the district being as solid single party Democratic as CD6 is Republican. Omar gained the CD5 DFL Convention endorsement. First ballot. Large margin.
 
UPDATE: MPR - first ballot MN5 convention:
 Samuels received 85 votes and Rep. Omar picked up 133 votes. Samuels vows to stay in the race, which will be a closely watched Democratic primary race across the country.

FURTHER: https://www.opensecrets.org/races/summary?cycle=2024&id=MN05

From last cycle, same two candidates, https://spokesman-recorder.com/2022/08/03/who-is-funding-don-samuels-campaign-and-why/ 

That item seems to be published from within the CD5 community. Favoring Omar. Because she is a progressive. It speaks for itself. 

Presumably endorsements from within the DFL and the CD5 community will track what they were in the 2022 campaign. Support from outside the district ought to not differ much either. However, Samuels having made 2022 closer than expected might tip more funding, possibly alternate sources, his way.

Samuels offers some experience and if winning he seems he could handle the job. Crabgrass decisively favors Omar as progressive rather than middle of the road. Also with a belief she is brighter and more effective than Samuels would be.

But that balance this cycle is for people in the district to decide. 

FURTHER: Fox9 from back when Samuels first announded a 2024 candidacy.

FURTHER: Samuels has a Wikipedia page, and it says:

Samuels launched a DFL primary challenge for Minnesota's 5th congressional district against Ilhan Omar in March 2022. Samuels was endorsed by former Chief of the Minneapolis Police Department, Medaria Arradondo[21] and Minneapolis mayor Jacob Frey.[22] [...] Samuels announced another primary challenge to Ilhan Omar in November 2023. The campaign's launch in November will lead to a longer campaign period than in 2022 when Samuels launched his challenge in March 2022 for an August 2022 election.[27][28] His campaign is being managed by Joe Radinovich, who also managed his 2022 campaign.[25] Public safety will be a theme of the campaign as it was in the last campaign.[26] Samuels initially differentiated himself from Omar on the Israel–Hamas war but both candidates agree on the need for a ceasefire.[22]

Radinovich is tight with Jacob Frey, and ran DFL and lost CD8 to Pete Stauber; so put Samuels in with the Cargill's good, the Chamber of Commerce is good political folks, middle road to Republican-lite; and nationwide there are a lot of Black preachers with good intentions, connections, and bona fides in politics like Samuels; but only one vocal Somali in the House, and diversity matters. 

 Omar has steered cash back to the district while not coddling folks there, and she's been a very fresh voice in the DC deep-stated Gestalt; where Samuels might well fit in as a Blue Dog / New Dem sort; Clinton-comfortable judging by the political company he keeps. Not bad folks. But very ordinary Dems and not innovative. 

As noted earlier, Samuels seems more comfortable with the party's status quo than Omar is. I would say Samuels is not a Hakeem Jeffries nor a Pelosi, but he's no Jamal Bowman either. 

Bowman and Omar seem more kindred in spirit than Samuels and Bowman, as best as Crabgrass sees things. And change if it ever comes will need the Omar and Bowman contingent more than those walking the familiar more traveled path.

For a perspective, I'd be cheered immensely were Samuels running DFL in CD6 and ousting Emmer, but he's not, and in CD6, Emmer'd be reelected, wide margin. 

It's in part that Omar is a national treasure, of a kind we need if not to sink into the mud of a slowly strangling status quo.

Like, don't look to Amy for change, it ain't there. She ain't ever pushing any envelope. Innovation is not in her DNA. Incrementalism is.

Again, voters in CD5 will decide. Both of the DFL primary front runners (there are two stragglers too) seem credible, each appealing to a different part of the party - Omar with the young and innovaters, Samuels perhaps too patient with the establishment. 

Or that's the impression Crabgrass has. Samuels would be okay. But not a Wellstone. Not a Vento. Not a magnet to inspire party growth.

 

FURTHER; Dark money, last cycle, Samuels.

Endorsements, this cycle +++. Start with the caveat that endorsements are not credited too highly here. Nonetheless, the item states:

Omar’s campaign has sought to steamroll Samuels with a slew of early endorsements, including every Democratic U.S. House leader — such as Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries — labor unions, the majority of the Minneapolis City Council, Minnesota House Speaker Melissa Hortman, DFL-Brooklyn Park, and nearly all of the Minneapolis legislative delegation. 

There are some high profile names missing, including 5th District resident U.S. Sen. Amy Klobuchar and Minneapolis Mayor Jacob Frey, who are both key figures in the still-powerful DFL establishment but have found themselves opposite Omar on many high profile issues, from support for Israel to support for police. 

House Majority Leader Jamie Long, DFL-Minneapolis, who has endorsed Omar every election since her first run, said she gets results. 

“I know there’s some members of Congress who do their work and work hard and there are some members who fill seats, and Congresswoman Omar is one who works hard and gets results for our constituents,” Long said, adding that Omar can represent people of color and immigrants in in the district who have never “had a voice in Congress.”

D.A. Bullock, a filmmaker and Northside resident, said Omar’s refusal to be silenced is precisely what’s needed to represent the Black and immigrant communities of the 5th District.

“It’s important for those people to be able to speak out and speak to how we make this American experiment a better place for everyone,” Bullock said. “I applaud her for the bravery of that because I know that comes with a special form of pushback from those who want to keep things pretty much the same as they’ve always been.”

[...] 

The congresswoman has long been a fierce critic of Israel and its treatment of Palestinians. With much of Gaza in ruins and the death toll mounting by the day, many in the Democratic mainstream have come around to where Omar has long stood. Many Democrats, including Biden, are now calling for a ceasefire and are critical of Israel’s actions.

But Israel has strong backers — including in the 5th District — who would love to see Omar gone. The political arm of the AIPAC has funded candidates it believes can unseat members of Congress who have been critical of Israel. The super PAC hasn’t donated to Samuels this election cycle, but his campaign has attempted to court the group for funds. Samuels’ campaign manager told The New York Times that $4 million would be enough to defeat Omar. 

So as mentioned earlier and mentioned in that quoting, from Omar's perspective, Frey, Klobuchar and Radinovich are establishment types in the way. And Samuels uses one of them directly and courts Israeli money, according to the item. Factor that in with last cycle, where dark money was used against Omar. The last paragraph, last sentence of the quote, Radinovich said $4 million; and "donated to Samuels" is distinct from "spent on behalf of Samuels," i.e. dark money from a PAC not affiliated and, ostensibly, not coordinated with Samuels' campaign. 

There is wiggle room.  Palestinian Gazans are suffering, and Omar is outspoken.

Joe Biden is waffling about Israel. Making a token stand at this point, "Do Rafah cleanly," after what's been done, is unconvincing.

It is too little, too late, but the bottom line remains, it is Biden or Trump.

Given that, Biden needs to be reelected. And DC astounds, time and again.

CNN:

A group of 26 House Democrats sent a letter to Biden on Friday saying they are “deeply concerned about the message the Administration is sending to Hamas and other Iranian-backed terrorist proxies by withholding weapons shipments to Israel." The letter does not specifically mention Biden’s interview with CNN this week where he first publicized his warning. 

The group of House Democrats, led by Rep. Josh Gottheimer of New Jersey, also requested a briefing from the White House to get more information on Biden’s decision, as well as how and when aid appropriated by Congress for Israel will be delivered.

Gottheimer was instrumental in killing Build Back Better, and is one of those "only difference is the sack" individuals who seem to be drawn to concentrate in DC.

These people make it harder for Biden to tardily do the right thing.

The belief here is that Biden is truly conflicted, and a prisoner to past policy dating back to Truman, 1948.

Being familiar with reporting of how displaced persons in encampments in Europe after the end of WW II fighting showed Jews being the last to find a way back to civilized living, they in Israel have still rough edges to their civilized lifestyle.

Some worse than others, some in Bibi's coalition government.

Another bottom line besides no matter what, reelect Biden, is if anything, tardy or not, marginal or not given death and destruction after October 7, anything nonetheless which could make Rafah actions less brutally ugly than otherwise is a humanitarian good result; and Biden now is doing the right thing beyond reasonable doubt.

Biden is a better human than Trump. A better President. And a better risk.

Suck it up and vote for Joe - that does not ring as either an endorsement or a winning slogan. It is however a compelling truth. It must be. Trump must be undone, and giving Biden four more years is a part of that necessity.

Do it. The nation needs better sense than conflicted emotion. Work it out.

__________UPDATE___________

To ensure opinions here are clear, the contention is that Biden during the past Israeli actions was either negligent, or intentionally complicit in a grotesque infliction of siege pain upon civilians bound since the Nakba to remain living confined tightly together within Gaza, with the reason for that starvation siege plus aerial bombardment imposition that they are Palestinians and hence to many Israelis second class humans (untermenschen?), and that to have treated them more decently would have resulted in more IDF loss of life, had a more care-taking ground campaign been started earlier. 

Hence an aerial campaign, with a later ground campaign - all things on the edge of Rafah now and at the crossing into Egypt, with over a million civilians concentrated there because Israel's past conduct of the war continuously told them to evacuate south or die.

It might be that Israel's government and military would prefer to bomb Rafah relentlessly now until no human there remains alive, the million number not being an impediment, but the world would repel in horror if they did that.

There is no urgency now, the rest of Gaza is being finalized, with everyone driven south except the dead.

So, the U.S. policy is now, allow the civilians safe shelter, stop starving them, segregate them from combatants, and then bomb the remaining combatants until no human among them remains alive. It seems that.

But, Israel sets its own course, with or without big fucking bombs given them by our nation, whereas if civilians are safely removed, we give them the bombs and watch the carnage, the aim not being to prevent carnage, but to limit it to Hamas personnel, who we have no national aim to protect from destruction.

And after Rafah - - -  guess.

Or that seems to be how things shape up.

 

Trump and the IRS appear to be in dispute about a tax matter. That is not news. That is status quo.

 The coverage is fairly widespread, if you do a search, but a number of readers likely have not seen the story, at this link, a NYTimes original, or covered by ProPublica.

Both items overlap, each saying miditem-

It is unclear how the audit battle has progressed since December 2022, when it was mentioned in the congressional report. Audits often drag on for years, [...]

In response to questions for this article, Trump’s son Eric, executive vice president of the Trump Organization, said: “This matter was settled years ago, only to be brought back to life once my father ran for office. We are confident in our position, which is supported by opinion letters from various tax experts, including the former general counsel of the IRS.”

An IRS spokesperson said federal law prohibited the agency from discussing private taxpayer information.

The outcome of Trump’s dispute could set a precedent for wealthy people seeking tax benefits from the laws governing partnerships. Those laws are notoriously complex, riddled with uncertainty and under constant assault by lawyers pushing boundaries for their clients. The IRS has inadvertently further invited aggressive positions by rarely auditing partnership tax returns.

Highlighting was used because of confusion over whether the animals in Animal House are equal. Two IRS employees have been all over TV discussing Hunter Biden's taxes yet are still collecting paychecks, not fired for it, not disciplined.

Calling them "whistleblowers" is a confusion, not an explanation of why Hunter's taxes are public fair game, Trump's are somehow different. Yes, Trump's wealth is greater, while Hunter was overcoming an addiction, yet - Hunter's tax situation is being handled by DOJ special prosecutors who filed criminal charges; Trump's, by discretion.

There is distress in seeing different strokes for different folks - Trump getting to skate the whole lake while Hunter is cabined, cribbed, confined into  a bad spot. 

Not that a reader has to explain it to me, rather she must explain it to herself. That, or declare unfairness the way of the nation, Trump getting "fairer" attention than Hunter Biden gets. Yes, Trump is being prosecuted. But for other things and he earned it. Eric Trump says, "We settled." Hunter would have settled under the terms of a settlement agreement the prosecutors had negotiated and signed, which appears to be how the IRS generally handles back taxes paid current with penalties included. They generally don't multi-count indict.

Instead, Hunter is indicted.

Thinking again, yeah, explain it to me

I don't fully comprehend what our nation is doing.

I mean, I comprehend it in the sense I read the stories and believe them. The comprehension discrepancy goes more to WHY, than to WHAT.



Tuesday, May 07, 2024

Is anybody startled or surprised by how judicial discretion can be stretched and tailored to fit objectives?

 search = Aileen Cannon news [past day]

EmptyWheel takes notice.

THE BOT -

My question to Microsoft's Copilot in Windows preview =  Is it fair that Judge Aileen Cannon struck the prior trial date and continued things indefinitely?

Yes, it was fishing to see if the bot would split hairs over "fair" being subjective. The question was parsed with "fair" ignored, the BOT saying:

Federal Judge Aileen Cannon has indefinitely postponed former President Donald Trump’s federal trial in Florida. The trial was initially scheduled for May 20, but due to a tangle of pretrial conflicts between special counsel Jack Smith and Trump’s attorneys, the date has been pushed back. Judge Cannon intends to resolve other issues in the case before setting a new trial date12. This reshuffling further complicates matters for Smith, who is also awaiting a Supreme Court ruling on presidential immunity. The outcome of this ruling could impact another case against Trump, related to charges for attempting to subvert the 2020 election2. So, while the postponement may raise questions, it aligns with the complexities of legal proceedings. 📜🔍

So, bot-speak allows every Crabgrass reader to form a separate opinion of how the question might have been better answered. ". . . may raise questions . . . aligns with the complexities of legal proceedings" suggests the BOT should go into politics, seeking federal office of some kind. Fitting into either party by feigning profound analytic skills. Not that advocacy these days would approve of fence straddling.


Strib publishes an op-ed, behind a paywall, an item worthy of commentary.

Titled,

Why we protested at the University of Minnesota

The calls from students are clear. The time to divest is now.

 It is authored by an encampment participant - 

Gillian Rath, a recent graduate of the University of Minnesota, is with University of Minnesota Students for a Democratic Society.

Leaving readers to gain access, while respecting Strib's copyright, excerpting will be sparse. Opening the item:

In the early hours of April 23, the University of Minnesota police arrested eight students and one university staff member for establishing a Gaza solidarity encampment, which was set up to protest university investments in apartheid Israel. Alongside other universities across the country and other SDS (Students for a Democratic Society) chapters, students from the UMN Divest Coalition established the encampment. While protesters peacefully camped on the Northrop lawn, the university responded by calling in police to confiscate their tents and charge nine with trespassing. Seven of the nine arrested are members of SDS. Only hours later, more than 1,000 students, alumni, staff and faculty members gathered in front of the Student Union to defend the nine arrested.

The protest, organized by the UMN Divest Coalition, quickly transformed from a small crowd on Tuesday morning to one of the largest protests on campus in recent history. Photos of police surrounding students quickly spread across social media, leading more than a thousand to walk out in support of divestment and dropping the charges. During this time, students gathered for speakers, a Passover Seder led by Jewish Voices for Peace, and the creation of a new solidarity encampment.

The "Divest" thrust of the protest's orientation was clear at all times.

At the same time, the University of Minnesota has continued partnerships with weapons companies complicit in this violence. [...] and tuition money is reinvested back into the economy of war for profit. [...] It is clear that divestment from genocide is both long overdue and fully within reach.

Throughout the following week, the UMN Divest Coalition continued to hold protests [... with] pitched symbolic tents in solidarity with both displaced refugees in Rafah and university encampments all across the U.S.

As noted in an earlier post, the university and encampment occupants at U.Minn. negotiated to the point of the encampment being ended - per a Strib item which was reposted open, with links here and here.

Of interest to 60s survivors, two Wikipedia entries - 

Students for a Democratic Society

 and 

Students for a Democratic Society (2006 organization)

The original SDS was a thorn in Lyndon Johnson's side, founded at Ann Arbor Michigan in 1960 (and folded 1974) which was a nominal historical precursor to what appears to be today's Gaza - Divestment protest coordinator, at least in part, other organization possibly also involved.

Of interest, that second Wiki item ends its story:

In March 2010, members of the University of Wisconsin Milwaukee's chapter of SDS staged a protest outside the Chancellor's building. The event, designed to protest rising tuition costs, was met with a police presence. Police began using pepper spray, and arrested sixteen members of the protest, including both SDS members and allied organizations on campus through the Education Rights Campaign.[24]

Reaching beyond, this item

Students for a Democratic Society calls for nationwide encampments for Gaza, stands with Columbia students for Palestine

By staff --

story link: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/4/29/mapping-pro-palestine-campus-protests-around-the-world

UPDATE; That item is well presented and factual, not editorializing, Do follow the link.

Dueling YouTubes? Apart from an interesting Republican oriented blog post.

Gary Gross posted a most interesting item, asserting Trump's building a "team" to offer to voters appears to him to be an important thing along with who gets second spot on Trump's ticket. Ultimately he suggests after naming "team" possibilities that Trump would be best served with either Marco Rubio or Ron DeSantis as VP nominee.

The suggestion is that "team" solidarity is as big or bigger than second spot on the ticket, but that either of two other Floridians would be good Veep choices lacks a geographical balance, (Trump himself being a Floridian -- as if that State's Republican bias is a positive thing - Florida with its swamps somehow special).

Gary ends his post with a video clip of Trump working an F1 race - in Miami - after Gary's final sentence suggesting, "Finally, I'd bring back Ben Carson at HUD and I'd install Elise Stefanik as Education Secretary." The boost my image by dumping on university education maven, Ed Sec? His preference. It can be debated.

What is interesting is the F1 Miami video, left bottom offers, "Watch on YouTube," which Crabgrass did, and right there on the sidebar offering of other things, an ABC segment,

Stormy Daniels expected to testify Tuesday in Trump hush money trial


Monday, May 06, 2024

The Republican sheer evil of wanting so much to weaponize "Antisemitism" as an election tool that they lie and debase themselves over the Party's tactics while pissing all over free expression and the Right of Our People to Assemble and to Protest.

Start with Jerry Nadler. A Jew. Not a Republican. Bothered by the Republican tactic.

That is, start with a politician, and Republican politics, where the post will end with more analytical and less partisan thinking about things happening today. As well as things happening around the Balfour Declaration's days in the news. Those lacking patience can scroll immediately to the linked video - a demonstration of how sensible intelligent people may reason together. But Nadler first.

And as a theme, clear and concise - an interview -

Zionism is a false idol that has taken the idea of the promised land and turned it into a deed of sale for a militaristic ethnostate

That is chosen as a mid-item blurb of Guardian - 24 Apr 2024, Naomi Klein writing.

Back to Nadler. Politico, 05/04/2024 -

‘The Republicans Are Being Total Hypocrites’

Rep. Jerry Nadler hits back against GOP efforts to weaponize antisemitism.

Nadler has represented a big piece of Manhattan since 1992 and is one of the longest-serving Jewish members of the House. He’s a Columbia University alumnus, having been on campus in 1968 when police cleared Hamilton Hall of anti-Vietnam war protesters. He’s also a close observer of the Middle East and the politics of Israel in the U.S., and he’s a longtime champion of civil liberties as the ranking Democrat on the House Judiciary Committee.

[...] Let’s start with what happened this week with the vote on the Antisemitism Awareness Act of 2023. You voted against it.

I led the opposition.

You made a very strong statement on the floor. The act adopts the definition of the International Holocaust Remembrance Alliance’s definition of antisemitism. Tell us about that definition, what the intention of this legislation was and why you think it’s such a bad idea?

Well, there are three extant definitions. One is by IHRA. One is the Nexus definition and the other is the Jerusalem definition. They’re all equally valid. They all give different examples for perceptions of antisemitism, and none of them should be enshrined into law. The chief author of the IHRA definition, Kenneth Stern, said don’t codify this. [...] to enshrine it into law — he thought and a lot of other people think — would be destructive of free speech. It could make criticism, under certain circumstances, of Israeli government policy antisemitic, which it clearly isn’t.

Explain what the point of the bill is. The point is to change the Civil Rights Act, and to give guidance to the Department of Education when enforcing it.

No, the point is to define antisemitism.

For what purpose though?

I suppose the purpose is to make it easier for the Office of Civil Rights to enforce the law. But the bill, for reasons unknown to me, enshrines the IHRA definition and says disregard the other two. There’s no rational reason for that. They’re all equally valid. They’re all made by committees of scholars and experts on antisemitism. Second of all, if you want to fight antisemitism through Congress, there are two things you can do. There is a bicameral, bipartisan bill, the Manning bill co-sponsored by many, many Democrats and Republicans in the House and in the Senate to set up a whole of government approach to antisemitism, which makes far more sense and doesn’t violate civil liberties.

The other thing you should do is increase the budget for OCR. The Office of Civil Rights is in charge of enforcing Title VI, which prohibits discrimination on the basis of race, color, religion, etc. on college campuses. Because of the huge increase in antisemitism, the Biden administration last year for the fiscal year 2024 budget asked for a 25-percent increase in the OCR budget to enforce strictures against antisemitism. The Republicans pushed for a 25-percent cut in that budget — mostly, I think, because they were afraid it might be used not only against antisemitism, but against anti-LGBTQ prejudice. The result was that the funding stayed flat despite the need for an increase because of the increase in antisemitism. We’re repeating the same fight now for the FY25 budget, which is under discussion now.

Can you explain where these lines fade into one another, what these competing definitions try to get at? The idea is that it sweeps up anti-Israel or anti-Zionist speech?

Yes. That is the problem. That’s why the author of the IHRA definition — which the Lawler bill enshrines into law — says “Don’t put this in law.”

70 Democrats and 21 Republicans opposed the legislation? Are you disappointed in how many, including most of the Democratic leadership, supported this?

No. I’m not. I am delighted we got 70 Democratic no votes. It’s more than I expected. It’s very easy to support something that claims to be against antisemitism, and it’s hard to start explaining to your constituents the nuances of why you didn’t.

You’re being generous to the folks who supported this with an understanding of the politics is what you’re saying.

I assume some really did it on the merits. Quite a few, I assume. Someone said that when you’re explaining, you’re losing. That’s a political maxim. It’s not always true, but it’s much easier to vote for something like this than it is to vote against it.

You represent basically all of the middle of Manhattan. You’re one of the longest serving Jewish representatives. You have a lot of constituents who I imagine support this legislation. What’s the reaction been in Manhattan?

I haven’t seen the reaction yet. I assume I will. But I’ve taken unpopular stances before. I was the only Jewish member in the tri-state region to buck every single Jewish organization and support the Iran deal. I think I was proven right. I had a primary as a result of it. I did very well in that primary. If you’re serving in public office, you have to do it for the right reasons and you can’t only be a slave to reelection. You have to vote your conscience and hope that you can explain it to constituents.

Keep in mind Nadler's term, "slave to reelection," in ultimately judging the Republican effort to put this thigh through - their motivation. Their resolve. Their modus operandi. The question of sincerity vs. expediency. Authenticity of thought vs tactical slavery to an upcoming election moment.

You have a long history with Columbia University. You went there. You’ve represented it on and off when it’s been part of your district. I don’t know if you’ve been following with a lot of detail the evolution of the campus protests, but what’s your opinion of them?

Obviously there’s been very strong demonstrations there. Obviously there’s been a lot of antisemitism too. Obviously it has frightened Jewish students and intimidated them, which is wrong. I’m glad the university finally decided enough was enough.

So you think the university handled it appropriately?

Yes I do. Especially after the occupation of Hamilton Hall. Until then, you could say “Well, they’re not totally interfering with classroom instruction, etc.” But once you occupy Hamilton Hall, you’re interfering with classroom instruction. You’re interfering with the exams. You cannot permit a minority of students to interfere with the core educational mission of the university [...]

President Biden spoke about the protests and seemed to try to balance support for the right of the protesters to speak out with condemnation of the law breaking. He said there’s a right to protest, but there is not a right to cause chaos. What was your reaction?

He’s exactly right. There’s a right to protest. There is not a right to interfere with other people’s activities. There’s not a right to intimidate students, Jewish or otherwise. There is a right to express your opinions.

Do you think he should have spoken out earlier as a lot of Republicans, including Donald Trump, wanted him to do this week?

I don’t know. The timing is very difficult. The Republicans are being total hypocrites about it because, on the one hand, they’re saying that the president of Columbia should resign. I don’t know what they think she should have done that she didn’t do. And they’re talking about antisemitism while indulging in antisemitism. Donald Trump has made antisemitic comments — you know Charlottesville, “There were fine people on both sides.” — and he’s been meeting with known antisemites. And they don’t say anything. So they hardly have clean hands, to put it mildly. In fact, they have filthy hands.

That could, politically, be a place to end quoting. "Them filthy-handed hypocrites" has a bell ring appeal if name calling against Republicans is a sole aim. 

However ---- One more thing Nadler said:

I think the Biden administration has handled things as well as they can be handled. Hamas is obviously terrible. I think Netanyahu is doing everything he can to sabotage the peace talks, even at the cost of the hostages. He has every motive for keeping the war going as long as possible. Because when the war is over, number one, there’ll be a commission of inquiry. Number two, there’ll be an election, and he’s polling at about 20 percent. And number three, he’ll have to face the felony charges that are outstanding against him.

He’s insisting on this Rafah operation, which is absurd. You can’t defeat that kind of an enemy that way, as we discovered in Mosul and for that matter in Vietnam.

The proper thing to do is exactly what the Biden administration is pushing, namely: Don’t go into Rafah; negotiate a cease-fire deal in which Arab troops from Saudi Arabia, the UAE, other places come in and occupy Gaza; start rebuilding it and have them work with the Palestinian Authority to reform it so that you can eventually have a Palestinian Authority in charge of Gaza and the West Bank and have a two-state solution. Now, Netanyahu does not want a two-state solution and this is something else he’s going to have to answer for once this war is over to the Israeli public. He was telling Qatar to fund Hamas before the war started. Why? Because he wanted Hamas to be in opposition to the Palestinian Authority so there couldn’t be a two-state solution. And of course, it blew up in his face.

It would have been unjust to leave quoting as tarring the Republicans without dropping in the core, complete truth about who we're dealing with. As Schumer did when calling for immediate new elections in Israel in hoping to begin a fix to the problem. We must identify: Who should be assigned greatest fault. And, what is the nature of the key impediment to things being handled to end the carnage rationally. Then you have to define the core factor of a problem if you intend to try to solve it rationally instead of merely posing and fear-mongering and finger-pointing as a tactic absent any honest care to see a lasting, decent and fair regional solution. That being the Republican Gestalt.

That sets the table for the video. An item done on a level above things Republicans choose to publish keyed to embody party line phrasing presenting echo chamber talking points absent subtlety or discernment. (Something especially galling when done by one you know knows better.)

Setting that aside, the video - on YouTube, or just click the image caption to view it:

This link

Backup Links to help those viewing the video (hopefully every reader will view, it is worth the time), which links can be consulted after viewing, for any reader wondering about some things discussed:

The key essay Klein wrote for Guardian - We need an exodus from Zionism

 A Times of Israel look at history of the Balfour Declaration and the Mantagu memo Klein discusses early in the video (linking here, to the full text of Mantagu's item). 

An MSM carry of a Jerusalem Post item discussing Klein's Guardian publication about needing "an exodus from Zionism."

Finally, another Guardian item - PEN America cancels festival after authors drop out in support of Gaza. That PEN America situation is discussed toward the end of the video, and like the other supporting items this one is helpful after viewing the video for those wondering about details, but not essential - the video well carries its own weight. 

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UPDATE: Politico published, "What’s Really Happening on College Campuses, According to Student Journalists." Part of it fits something Nadler said in his interview - this Q and A -

Do you worry about the convention this summer in Chicago? Little too on the nose that you guys decided to do it in Chicago this year.

Yes. Too evocative.

I don’t know how much you talk to people who are planning the convention, but do you worry about what that could look like if this war is still going on and if this protest movement is gaining?

I haven’t talked to people planning the convention at all, but yes, I worry about it. I don’t think it’s equivalent to what happened in Chicago in 1968 for a number of reasons. First of all, the atmosphere was completely different. This was an American war we were talking about. American boys were being drafted. I was active with Al Lowenstein in the “Dump Johnson” movement, that is to deny Johnson renomination because of the war. And this was seen at the time as impossible. You could defeat a president? No. And we eventually did. But I remember talking to a fellow student on campus at about that time and saying “Why do you hate Lyndon Johnson?” And his reply was “Because he wants to kill me.”

It was personal.

It was. It was personal because it was an American war, the American draft. People felt personally threatened. There’s no such thing now. Completely different. We’re talking about a foreign war. No one in the United States feels threatened now. Now clearly there are Palestinian Americans who have family there.

Right. It’s personal for them.

It’s personal for them. But that’s not most people, obviously. It’s a very small percentage of the American population. But the other thing that made Chicago particularly terrible then was that Mayor Daley’s cops staged a riot. They were beating up the demonstrators in full view of the television cameras. Presumably this time the police in Chicago will handle themselves professionally as the police in New York and in other places have done and so I think it’s very different. Now, it obviously does have an impact on the election.

But I think for young people, especially if the Biden campaign does its job at all, people are going to say “Wait a minute. Do I want freedom of choice for women? Or do I want the state monitoring pregnant women? Do I want student debt erased? Do I want a world I can live in with the climate crisis? Do I want to support LGBTQ issues? Do I want democracy after what Trump has said made very clear about how he’ll destroy democracy in this country?” When you read Trump’s interview in Time Magazine, he really wants to set up an autocracy in this country. And I assume that the Biden campaign will do a competent job in getting that out between now and Election Day.

How do you think domestic U.S. politics might affect Netanyahu’s decision making? You think it’s certainly in his political interest for this war to continue. If he wants President Biden to lose the election, it would also be in his political interest not to defuse this.

I certainly think he wants President Biden to lose the election. The Diaspora Affairs Minister [Amichai] Chikli who’s a member of Netanyahu’s party Likud — not one of the more extreme parties and there are even more extreme parties and coalitions — said as much. He said we — I don’t remember if he said we or I — want Trump reelected. For an ally to intervene in American politics like that is incredible. But Bibi’s done this before. Remember the disrespect he showed to Obama when he came and spoke to the Congress at Boehner’s invitation against Obama’s policy on the Iran deal. So yeah, I think Bibi has his own political interest and if it helps Trump win reelection, so much the better from his point of view.

In effect, Nadler sees what Crabgrass sees. The 60s Vietnam situation was a precursor, but very different (To date no police or National Guard murders now, unlike Kent State and Jackson State being a kind of barometer.)

And Nadler sees what Crabgrass sees - when it gets to voting in November, the more left leaning young will not be stupid and waste votes or stay away from voting. Rather, the choice being limited is clear, but the dimensions of two candidacies are also clear, and the phrase, "Don't cut off your nose to spite your face" grew because it contained something.

Last, one journalist's extended view of some things which might touch U.S. Jewish sentiment that Israel is painting itself into a corner and should not, vs. an Israeli view that niceness is not the most material concern of their nation; per a somewhat long but interesting YouTube lecture. Clearly the man speaking is an Israeli with his own viewpoint which can, with risk, be viewed as a popular view among Israeli people; vs. only a personal and possibly propagandistic presentation. The audience being mostly young U.S. Jews, some older, but a small audience in number being led to some of the lecturer's understandings which the audience members might not have thought of on their own. The viewpoint is worth consideration. 

FURTHER: The parallel between the YouTube lecturer's refugee explanations and the "border crisis" that today's Republicans clutch pearls over is worth thought.

While the Politico item on campus journalist views does present a uniform view that an uptick of isolated antisemitism has been a campus factor; it is not virulent as was the organized Unite the Right mob chant "Jews will not replace us" by the demonstrators back when Trump said "good people on both sides."

Microsoft republishes an item from The Independent which paints the protest encampments as something different from lawless provocateurs and agitators as Republican top-down propaganda name-calls. Jews among others protesting in the encampments belies the claims the protests are antisemitic, they are inclusive, but moods are sharpened among those worried over any growth of Jew baiting as threatening to Jews. It is easy to see more threat than really exists, and mainstream reporting is no help.

FURTHER: Axios reviews negotiated dispersing of campus encampments. 

Strib had published about the U.Minn. negotiation; behind a paywall.

The item was reposted open, with links here and here.

Ultimate divestment decisions were not promised in any of the negotiated settlements. Hearing, and possible endowment investment disclosures are steps in favor of transparency, and carry benefits that way.

The theme of divestment seems universal among encampment aims, campus to campus, suggesting there may be overarching coordination. Sunshine on how any such coordination and funding is put in place is, again, a positive transparency step.

Such coordination, explored, is not a criticism of the actions or results on different campus communities. Brown, Northwestern, Rutgers and U.Minn are mentioned as campuses where protesters dispersed by negotiation - two private schools, two State institutions. Seemingly private universities have a broader chance to accommodate things, while Columbia chose not to, Northwestern did. Diversity of responses is a healthy sign. There is no single correct way.

It is likely campus situations will remain in the news; but the Gaza situation itself remains THE story, with campus events being ancillary stories.

 

Sunday, May 05, 2024

Minnesota Iron Range Rep. had House Repubicans pass a bill against protecting the Boundary Waters Wilderness.

 Strib's Editorial Board collectively published the op-ed:

U.S. Rep. Pete Stauber has served clear and troubling notice that preserving the Minnesota's beloved Boundary Waters Canoe Area Wilderness could hinge on the outcome of this fall's elections.

All voters who care about safeguarding this fragile, watery wilderness should be aware of the threat posed by reckless legislation pushed through the House by the Republican Eighth District congressman.

The bill, HR 3195, is misleadingly dubbed the "Superior National Forest Restoration Act." It sounds environmentally friendly. It's anything but. A more accurate name for the bill would be: "Pandering to Chilean Billionaires Act."

Yes, Pete favors them over us, over a stinking little handful of ephemeral jobs which carry the risk of likely environmental disaster, of the worse irreparably lasting kind imagianable. Great short term "protect the seat and paycheck and benefits" effort, Pete. 

You're special.

Strib adds:

This is an outcome that would greatly benefit Antofagasta, the Chilean mining conglomerate that owns Twin Metals Minnesota. Antofagasta, in turn, is controlled by the Luksics, South America's wealthiest family.

They have enough already -

Antofagasta seeks to open an underground copper-nickel mine just outside the BWCA but on the edge of a lake that drains into the wilderness. That's a serious problem when the copper mining industry worldwide has an appalling track record of pollution. Copper-nickel mining is also new to Minnesota and carries different risks than our more familiar taconite operations.

In 2019, the Star Tribune Editorial Board's "Not this mine, not this location" special report spotlighted the risks to the BWCA's fragile, intertwined waters from potential mining pollution. The report also called for permanent copper-mining protections in the BWCA's watershed. While mining cheerleaders argue that new technology will minimize risks to the BWCA, responsible stewardship of this natural treasure requires zero risk of pollution in its headwaters.

Can things be said any more clearly? Don't do it. Don't go there, its disaster awaiting from day one, if it gets crammed down as Stauber would want.

The truth is - Stauber should show some decency toward the earth and those wishing to shepherd its sane survival. Ditto for his partner in pandering, Sixth District incumbent Tom Emmer (as good a legislator as he was a hockey player, which says, highly mediocre on both scores). Emmer prospers based upon district demographics, not capability. The pair is doom, if not held in check.

And, we have an election coming - one where holding bad actors in check is a key thread, as Strib's Editorial Board mentioned in continuing its sane opinion:

In January 2023, the Biden administration issued a public land order that effectively bans copper-nickel mining on 225,504 acres of federally owned land in the BWCA watershed for 20 years. As the Editorial Board noted then, it was a landmark step to ensure future generations can enjoy this rare, unspoiled natural gem.

The public land order also stands in commendable contrast to the Trump administration's efforts to ram through the Antofagasta mine in secrecy, with little regard for science or risks to the BWCA.

There is no better reason to reelect Joe Biden, this one being absolutely sufficient all by itself. And the oped noted things online in a timely way -- just as the porn actor hush money saga of Donald J. Trump unfurls. One man, responsible and in office. The other - a trainwreck with no redeemable social value and repugnant to an unmatched degree. That repugnant, without even trying hard to be so. Repugnance is in Trump's DNA.

So - Reelect Joe. That is a major part of the message: With the Boundary Waters otherwise at risk of bad exploitation and ruin - reelect Joe

Do it.

Saturday, May 04, 2024

Calling out FOX headlining. Their story belies their headlining. It offends.

Please expand this top-of-story capture - from this May 3 FOX item - to see the headline and a couple of images of cops in line, no violence. And some text.

The headline: 

Over 2,000 anti-Israel agitators have been arrested during antisemitic protests on US college campuses

First, protesters are not "agitators" unless you've a bent sense of the English language. But beyond that -- The captured images and included lead text say nothing about "antisemitism." Indeed, a word search of the stem "antisemi" found a single usage. Yes. In the headline. Nowhere else was anything said about attitudes toward Jewish people, as the word "antisemitism" is most commonly used. Zippo.

Buried as the last paragraph of the item:

The demonstrations began at Columbia on April 17 with students calling for an end to the Israel-Hamas war, which has killed more than 34,000 Palestinians in the Gaza Strip, according to the Health Ministry there. Israel launched its offensive in Gaza after Hamas terrorists carried out the deadliest attack in Israel’s history when they killed about 1,200 people, mostly civilians, on Oct. 7 and took roughly 250 hostages back into Gaza.

Truth is, a 34 to 1 kill ratio, and Israel still going.

If you've spent any time in a tent, it is no luxury, even while enjoying a wilderness experience. To set up a tent on urban concrete you either have to be homeless with no other choice, or willing to sacrifice comfort to make a political statement.

Would you spend a few days in a tent on an urban college campus - on concrete; even if you felt quite strongly about something? So, these people are not coddling themselves, not in any way.

And what is their beef? The government of Israel is acting against civilians of Gaza in a most questionable manner. These people protest that. They sacrifice comfort to make a statement. And the images show no extreme violence. While reading things differently, Gary Gross posts a video showing police are not forced to don riot gear and use flashbang grenades - or not so at NYU. If some did elsewhere, they chose to, and were not forced by anything beyond their preferences and command structure. These were peaceful but intentional protests.

You never see any media outlet whatsoever contending "people hate Russians" as a consequence to be drawn from the Russian GOVERNMENT'S war against Ukraine, and those claiming Russia is acting unjustly. Criticism of conduct of a nation - Putin's government - is not at all a threat of any kind against Russian people living in our nation. Yet, criticize Bibi's minions of ultra-Zionists, what they in fact are doing, and it somehow gets mysteriously coflagrated as "antisemitism." The more you find fault with settlements and starving, maiming and killing Gazan civilians, the more virulent your "antisemitism" is claimed to be. It is playing upon people's ignorance to deceive them that way, some being more susceptible, more ignorant, than others. 

For sane, balanced coverage of campus unrest these days, focus upon Columbia, Guardian is objective and both broad and subtle in scope of analysis, here and here.

Read that, avoid the bullshit. Last, for the second Guardian item, this web search to identify it not being an overt advocacy group writing the item.

____________UPDATE______________

Two cogent recent items by Timmer at left.mn --- Apr. 26, and Apr. 29. Timmer writes well.

 

AI flies the Air Force Secretary in a mock dogfight over Edwards Air Force Base. It portends a future where "Top Gun" is a bot.

 Seattle Times carrying a May 3, 2024, story. Of the three items posted today about items Seattle Times published, this one is most intriguing. It has a giant reach into the future of warfare:

AI marks one of the biggest advances in military aviation since the introduction of stealth in the early 1990s, and the Air Force has aggressively leaned in. Even though the technology is not fully developed, the service is planning for an AI-enabled fleet of more than 1,000 unmanned warplanes, the first of them operating by 2028.

It was fitting that the dogfight took place at Edwards Air Force Base, a vast desert facility where Chuck Yeager broke the speed of sound and the military has incubated its most secret aerospace advances. Inside classified simulators and buildings with layers of shielding against surveillance, a new test-pilot generation is training AI agents to fly in war. Kendall traveled here to see AI fly in real time and make a public statement of confidence in its future role in air combat.

“It’s a security risk not to have it. At this point, we have to have it,” Kendall said in an interview with The Associated Press after he landed. The AP, along with NBC, was granted permission to witness the secret flight on the condition that it would not be reported until it was complete because of operational security concerns.

The AI-controlled F-16, called Vista, flew Kendall in lightning-fast maneuvers at more than 550 miles an hour that put pressure on his body at five times the force of gravity. It went nearly nose to nose with a second human-piloted F-16 as both aircraft raced within 1,000 feet of each other, twisting and looping to try force their opponent into vulnerable positions.

At the end of the hourlong flight, Kendall climbed out of the cockpit grinning. He said he’d seen enough during his flight that he’d trust this still-learning AI with the ability to decide whether or not to launch weapons in war.

There’s a lot of opposition to that idea. Arms control experts and humanitarian groups are deeply concerned that AI one day might be able to autonomously drop bombs that kill people without further human consultation, and they are seeking greater restrictions on its use.

“There are widespread and serious concerns about ceding life-and-death decisions to sensors and software,” the International Committee of the Red Cross has warned. Autonomous weapons “are an immediate cause of concern and demand an urgent, international political response.”

Kendall said there will always be human oversight in the system when weapons are used.

The military’s shift to AI-enabled planes is driven by security, cost and strategic capability. If the U.S. and China should end up in conflict, for example, today’s Air Force fleet of expensive, manned fighters will be vulnerable because of gains on both sides in electronic warfare, space and air defense systems. China’s air force is on pace to outnumber the U.S. and it is also amassing a fleet of flying unmanned weapons.

Future war scenarios envision swarms of American unmanned aircraft providing an advance attack on enemy defenses to give the U.S. the ability to penetrate an airspace without high risk to pilot lives. But the shift is also driven by money. The Air Force is still hampered by production delays and cost overruns in the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter, which will cost an estimated of $1.7 trillion.

Smaller and cheaper AI-controlled unmanned jets are the way ahead, Kendall said.

The human always atop the technology was the theme of the Dave and HAL part of Kubrich's 2001, A Space Odyssey film. 

Bot aircraft do not put a pilot at risk. Their airframes can withstand higher G's than a human pilot can take without a blackout, from too sharp an acceleration. And then there is the question raised in the film. 

Of interest, the HAL computer was named as a transcription by one letter each, from IBM, which then was the 800 pound gorilla of high-tech. Then, later when Microsoft released its Windows New Technology product, the WNT letters were transcribed the other direction from VMS, the operating system DEC used before its demise.

Microsoft did not reinvent the wheel, as much as borrowing a design from elsewhere. Technology moves a step at a time. We now have ChatGPT and other Large Language Models in competition. Where that development leads, beyond product improvements over time, in terms of human workforce needs, is anyone's guess; the most prevalent guess being bots replacing human labor.

If bots do that in the military, with success, a parallel peaceful change can be expected.

For now the promise is less at-risk human pilots. Lack of need to make fighting aircraft conform to a need to support a live human inside being a design freedom that will make better, cheaper, faster, more numerous all happen. Clearly our U.S. military seeks to lead the field. Whatever the cost, get there first.

Warfare will differ from "Curse you, Red Baron" to "Curse you, VidGame," where nobody dies in the crash, but with "VidGame" winning the dogfight, it goes on to do what warplanes do, Gaza being an example.