Link. JD Vance says it may have a major effect. One side or the other is correct.
JD gets his data from reading the entrails of a slain Springfield, Ohio pet.
The Dallas Fed uses real data.
If the Israelis blow up Iranian oil facilities because they feel like it, figure that one out; guess at the per barrel crude effect leading to a pump price effect. Yet we're giving them the bombs.
And then, there is the question is Dallas Fed concentrating on wage inflation, or some other measure? Assessing all effects of labor mobility policy is not easy. Nor is trusting the Dallas Fed or JD.
-----------------------------------
[NOTE: Adding the "Israelis link" was done as an UPDATE]
Scheduled three weeks before
Election Day, the debate will be a crucial opportunity for both
candidates to sway undecided voters.
DALLAS — Texas Republican Sen. Ted Cruz and Democratic challenger
Rep. Colin Allred will face off in their first televised debate on
Tuesday, October 15, at 7 p.m. at WFAA’s studios in downtown Dallas.
______________________________________
The above excerpt suggests that Internet availablity will be nation-wide, not somehow restricted to only Texas. Seeing it would be worth the time, as Allred is considered to have a fair chance to unseat Cruz.
In copying from the linked item, there is a video (non-YouTube player) segment, so readers can link and view, as well as read detail.
At EmptyWheel commentary there is a lot of guesswork on identities. The list likely is in error, and how it was constructed is unknown to Crabgrass. However, one EW commentator extracted identities from the image to text using a tool, this list:
DavidStarr says:
Voila – (current version of Preview will extract text from a png):
CC1 – Rudy Guiliani
CC2 – John Eastman – Trump lawyer
CC3 – Sidney Powell Trump lawyer
CC4 – Jeffery Clark – DOJ Official
CC5 – Kenneth Chesebro – Drafted fake elector memos
CC6 – Boris Epshteyn – Private campaign advisor
P1 – Steve Bannon
P2 – Bill Stepien – Campaign Manager
P3 – Justin Clark – Deputy Campaign Manager
P4 – Jason Miller – Senior Campaign Advisor
P5 – Michael Roman – Campaign staffer -disrupting vote counts
P6 – Roger Stone – Longtime Trump advisor
P7 – Mark Meadows – White House Chief of Staff
P8 – Mark Short – Pence Chief of staff
P9 – Greg Jacob White House Lawyer
P10 – Joseph DiGenova – Lawyer
P11 – Victoria Toensing – Lawyer
P12 – Jenna Ellis – Trump Lawyer
P13 – Jared Kushner – Trump’s son-in-law
P14 – Ivanka Trump – Trump’s daughter
P15 – Assistant to the President and Director of Oval Office Operations – Nicholas F. Luna
P16 – Arizona Gov Doug Ducey
P17 – Brian Kemp – Georgia Governor
P18 – Rusty Bowers – AZ House Speaker
P19 – Christina Bobb – Campaign Staffer
P20 – Kory Langhofer – Bowers’ lawyer
P21 – Mark Meadows – White House Chief of Staff
P22 – Brad Raffensperger – Georgia Secretary of State
P23 – Cleta Mitchell – Trump’s lawyer
P24 – Jacki Pick – presented misleading footage
P25 – Gabriel Sterling – GA official
P26 – Georgia Attorney General Chris Carr
P27 – U.S. Senator David Purdue
P28 – U.S. Senator Kelly Loeffler
P29 – Ruby Freeman – GA election worker- falsely accused
P30 – Shaye Moss – GA election worker- Freeman’s daughter
P31 – Kurt Hilbert – Trump’s lawyer in GA
P32 – Ray Smith III – Trump’s lawyer in Trump v. Kemp
P33 – Brad Raffensperger – GA Secretary of State
P34 – Ryan Germany – GA Deputy Secretary of State
P35 – Alex Kaufman – Raffensperger’s general counsel
P36 – Robert Cheeley – Trump lawyer on GA call
P37 – Mike Shirkey – MI Senate Majority Leader
P38 – Lee Chatfield – MI House Speaker
P39 – RNC Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel
P41 – Scott Gragson – NV operative assisting in MI
P42 – Molly Michael – Trump’s executive assistant
P43 – Justin Riemer – RNC Chief Counsel
P44 – Sophia Lai – RNC spokesperson
P45 – Dan Scavino – Trump’s social media director
P46 – Bernie Kerik – PA Republican Party Chair
P47 – Al Schmidt – Philadelphia City Commissioner
P48 – Michael Coudrey – Pro-Trump online figure
P49 – Brian Hagedorn – WI Supreme Court Justice
P50 – Chris Krebs – CISA Director
P51 – Tucker Carlson – Fox News host
P52 – William Barr – Attorney General
P53 – Kelli Ward – AZ GOP Chair, fake elector scheme
P54 – Hannah Salem – Trump campaign staffer
P55 – Boris Epshteyn – Trump advisor
P56 – Cleta Mitchell – Trump lawyer
P57 – Lou Barletta – Former Congressman, PA elector
P58 – Greg Jacob – Pence’s Counsel
P59 – Pat Cipollone – White House counsel
P60 – Kayleigh McEnany – WH Press Secretary
P61 – Karen Fann – AZ Senate President
P62 – Ken Paxton – TX Attorney General
P63 – Eric Schmitt – MO Attorney General
P64 – Caroline Wren – Jan 6 rally organizer
P65 – Julie Fancelli – Jan 6 rally funder
P66 – Dustin Stockton – Jan 6 rally organizer
P67 – Shealah Craighead – WH photographer
P68 – Raheem Kassam – Conservative commentator
P69 – Peter Navarro – WH trade advisor
P70 – Jenna Ellis – Trump lawyer
P71 – Eric Herschmann – Deputy WH Counsel
P72 – Pam Bondi – Trump Campaign advisor
P73 – Dan Scavino – WH staffer
P74 – Rudy Giuliani – Trump’s lawyer
P75 – Unknown
P76 – Sidney Powell – Trump’s lawyer
Again, that list is somebody's best educated guess, apparently, and may contain error.
October installment - email, so no link - full text:
Housing
is a human right. Without it, nothing else in your life works – not
your job, your family, your health, your life. A home is more than four
walls and a roof over your head. It’s a source of stability and comfort,
a place you can make your own and take pride in. A home gives people
the freedom and opportunity to build the life they want.
In
most US counties, minimum wage workers can’t afford to rent a modest
one-bedroom apartment. We have underinvested in housing and underbuilt
homes for decades, and this has led to the severe housing shortage our
country is experiencing today. On top of that, powerful Wall Street
firms and deep-pocketed investors have started buying up the stock
of starter homes across the country, outbidding working families,
capturing the supply, and squeezing homeowners and renters. It doesn’t
have to be this way, and it’s time for Congress to respond with a plan
that matches the scale and urgency of the crisis.
That’s
why Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and I partnered to introduce the
Homes Act, a plan to establish a new, federally backed housing
development authority to finance and build homes in big cities and small
towns across America.
Our
bill would help cities, towns and nonprofits build millions of
affordable, high-quality homes to meet the housing needs of each unique
community, whether it be apartments, starter homes, senior or workforce
housing—you name it. The private market isn’t building enough homes that
people can afford in the places people want to live. In Minnesota, we
already have models for how we can do better.
I
was so glad to be joined by incredible housing advocates from Minnesota
like Noah Hobbs from One Roof Community Housing in Duluth and Mikeya
Griffin from the Rondo Community Land Trust, when I introduced the Homes
Act in Washington last month. Community land trusts are an example of
the type of organization that would benefit directly from the Homes Act,
receiving the support they need to build and rehabilitate enough new,
permanently affordable homes to finally meet growing demand.
Empowering
local communities and organizations who are already doing the work on
the ground is at the center of our bill. Instead of treating real estate
as a commodity, we can underwrite the construction of millions of homes
and apartments that, by law, must remain affordable. Some would be
rental units; others would offer Americans the opportunity of
homeownership and the chance to build equity. This model exists in parts
of the United States and is already working around the world, such as in Vienna.
This
is the federal government’s chance to invest in social housing and give
millions of Americans a safe, comfortable and affordable place to call
home — with the sense of security and dignity that come with it. I look
forward to moving this bill through Congress and addressing the
affordable housing shortage that is impacting Minnesotans all over the
state.
Thank you for reading my newsletter. There are a lot of other ways to get in touch with me: follow me on Twitter, Threads, Facebookand Instagram to keep up with what’s going on in Minnesota and the Senate!
Two observations. She starts with the clincher. Then, fleshing it out she does not solicit money. What's not to like?
JD Vance, and Matt Birk hide a bit from this truth. There are those families.
Mr. Birk gives an interview. What Mr. Birk needs to better understand, nobody is telling him what to do, while he wants to have a say in other family's lives.
He does not recognize himself - his policy - as intrusive. Minding his own business seems fine with him, and it is fine with me. I just feel his family is the limiting scope of his having any valid opinion on how everybody else should be constrained to live. Coerced to live one way over another is bad enough. Constrained, by on-the-book laws is a step too far, for a freedom loving decision maker.
The concept of "family planning" entails a plan. To have a plan, a planning ability, you need a choice. Or else it's somebody else's plan, not yours.
The last item reports Israeli Defense Forces have entered Lebanon with ground forces, beyond comando raids, and that Israeli loss of life from it is exceptional.
About 40% of the whitehouse.gov webpage landscape, atop things, relates to the rain and flooding, this screenshot:
Readers can click the image to see coverage headings, and go to the website itself to read. It has preempted the more generic-propagandistic part of the website's "What we are doing for the nation" headlining and posting.
The main summary of federal reactions and actions, in a single item, here.
The devastation is so severe that a predominantly finance related site now has posts on the flooding worth reading here and here. (Excellent coverage.)
Beyond that, readers should do their own websearch for further coverage.
Former President Trump turned down a "60 Minutes"
offer of back-to-back conversations with both presidential nominees,
with his campaign saying he didn't want interruptions for fact checks.
Why it matters: With Trump saying it's "too late"
for another debate with Harris, the show could have been a final chance
for both candidates to reach a mass audience, 29 days before Election
Day.
Between the lines: CBS says Trump accepted, then pulled out. Steven Cheung, the Trump campaign communications director, told Axios:
"There
were discussions but nothing was ever scheduled or locked in. They
insisted on cutting out of the interview to do fact-checking."
What they're saying: "60 Minutes is scheduled to air a primetime election special on a Monday edition of the broadcast on October 7 at 8PM," the show tweeted as a "programming note" three hours before the vice-presidential debate on Tuesday night.
"For
over half a century, 60 Minutes has invited the Democratic and
Republican tickets to appear on our broadcast as Americans head to the
polls."
A "60 Minutes" spokesperson added:
"This year, both the Harris and Trump campaigns agreed to sit down with
60 Minutes. Vice President Harris will speak with correspondent Bill
Whitaker. After initially accepting 60 Minutes' request for an interview
with Scott Pelley, former President Trump's campaign has decided not to
participate. Pelley will address this Monday evening."
In hiding mode. Risk averse? He doesn't talk risk averse. Not projecting that persona. Strange, a narcissist demurral? That's hard to sell. I believe in myself, but 60 Minutes would be "rigged?" Whatever I don't like, or fear, is "rigged?"
Actions speak loudest? What is it about - not wanting to be fact checked? Wanting to lie like a rug? Not wanting to be held to truth? That is despicable.
Fact checking would be "rigged?" Telling the truth is "rigged?" What?
That’s a good assessment, as usual, but I don’t necessarily agree
that the debate will not affect the election…if the Harris team uses the
Vance soundbites therefrom adeptly.
E.g., Vance’s dissembling on several issues, like Springfield,
abortion, J6, etc (the list is as long as his answers were) can be set
up in campaign ads opposite actual video clips and blockquotes that he
an Trump have spouted over the last days, months and years.
I’ll be very disappointed if they don’t do that post haste, going
forward. Sometimes I wish they’d hire the Colbert crew for that kind of
purpose, but without the laugh lines, just for the way they’re so good
at highlighting that dichotomy between Trumpist rhetoric and reality —
and doing it in record time . Maybe the Lincoln folks will pitch in, as
well as the Harris team this month, and hopefully it will be a swift,
prolific effort. The material from last night is staring them in the
face and it isn’t hard to sort through, certainly.
Yow! That was hyper-quick and damn effective. And the time stamp was 5
minutes before my post above! They were up all night for that one!
Colbert, eat your heart out!
Ok, let’s hope they keep ’em comin’! If so, the VP debate goes from a wash to a Harris blowout.
And with Walz being back-up to a healthy candidate in mid-life, while Vance is backstop to a very old and mentally decrepit self-repeater, Vance matters more.
I can’t help thinking that JD Vance is the billionaires’ choice to
replace Trump. He’s ambitious, a smooth liar, and knows who his daddy
is. He also seems to be a true believer in the goals of Project 2025.
If Trump weren’t such a stupid narcissist, he’d be looking over his
shoulder to make sure that Vance isn’t researching the 25th Amendment.
Not a posing "objective news" outlet, but arguably insightful.
Make of it what you will.
___________FURTHER UPDATE___________
Based solely on smoothness, mannerisms, and delivery the belief here is Vance did a cleaner presentation of himself. He wears a suit better. That matters to some. On substance - objective view vs. subjective view, the belief here is both are second ticket spot, and don't matter. (Next Presidential election may be a different story.)
Trump, after he got pantsed by Harris in their debate to where he's hiding from scheduling another, was hoping on Vance and was not let down. Vance tried for a silk purse from a sow's ear, doing well, but still, a sow's ear remains what it is.
___________FURTHER UPDATE___________
Guardian presents two debate navel gazing items, where a reader can read something into them. A panel, (buffet output), you agree with the panelist closest to your biases: here. Second, single author, not a panelist, with the author's photo above.
Her item is in line with her other Guardian posts. The question interesting to Crabgrass - is this an age-related thing? (The question posed: is this happenstance, or an actual age difference?) Of the panelists who are regular contributors with bio page photos, this author is younger. In effect, can one speculate from this single instance to a valid conclusion that younger people are less tolerant of speil-n-spin, and quicker to see and call it out when encountering it? As one ages, does one have a lessened sensitivity to speil-n-spin after being over the years more deluged with it? Akin to neuropathy. Sensitivity fading with time, not more heightened.
Think it over. Perhaps I accord wisdom and discernment to her since I agree with all she wrote. Trump aides reportedly feel Vance closed a sale. Do tell.
Preaching to the choir is not a good measure of the quality of the sermon.
It is the other side of the world, but between China and the far east, and Europe. As such, and with all that oil, events there reverberate here. And we provide aircraft and munitions (and veto votes) to favor one side.
Locally, the Springfield News-Sun is reporting at judicial activism aimed to hold Donald Trump and JD Vance to account for the spreading of false defamatory statements; not by a civil lawsuit, but via a citizen-right provision of Ohio law that permits private party action to instigate a hearing of whether officials should file criminal charges. Nationally, NBC reports online of the situation. NBC, quoting:
The leader of a Haitian nonprofit community group filed
criminal charges Tuesday against former President Donald Trump, the
Republican presidential nominee, and his running mate, Sen. JD Vance of
Ohio, over false claims they made about Haitian immigrants’ eating local pets in Springfield, Ohio.
Guerline Jozef, a co-founder and the executive director of the Haitian Bridge Alliance, filed the charges on behalf of the group.
"Over
the last two weeks, both Trump and Vance led an effort to vilify and
threaten the Haitian community in Springfield, Ohio," Jozef wrote.
"Together, they spread and amplified the debunked claim that Haitians
immigrants in Springfield are eating cats, dogs, and wildlife."
Donald Trump and JD Vance on July 18 in Milwaukee.Leon Neal / Getty Images file
The
group’s attorney, Subodh Chandra, cited inaction from a prosecuting
attorney in asserting Jozef’s right to file the charges as a private
citizen.
Ohio law allows private citizens to file
affidavits charging people with crimes. However, the law requires
hearings to take place before the affidavits can move forward. As of
Tuesday afternoon, none had been scheduled.
Trump and
Vance were charged with disrupting public services, making false alarms,
complicity, telecommunications harassment and aggravated menacing in
the filing, which asked Clark County Municipal Court to find that there
is probable cause and to issue warrants for Trump's and Vance's arrests.
“If anyone else had disrupted public service, made false
alarms, and engaged in telecommunications harassment in the manner Trump
and Vance did with their relentless and persistent lies—even after the
governor and mayor said what they were saying was false, they would’ve
been arrested by now," Chandra said in a statement Tuesday. "They must
be held accountable to the rule of law in the same way any of the rest
of us would be.”
Trump-Vance campaign communications
director Steven Cheung said in a statement that Trump "is rightfully
highlighting the failed immigration system that Kamala Harris has
overseen, bringing thousands of illegal immigrants pouring into
communities like Springfield and many others across the country."
City officials have repeatedly said the claim that Haitian immigrants have arrived in Springfield illegally is not true.
The local news outlet, hours ago added coverage:
The
Haitian Bridge Alliance added an additional charge to its criminal
filing in Clark County Municipal Court against former President Donald
Trump and his running mate, U.S. Sen. JD Vance, related to claims
they’ve made about Springfield’s Haitian population.
The
additional requested charge, inducing panic, stems from Trump and Vance
making claims that Haitian immigrants were killing and eating pets in
Springfield, “with full knowledge the claims were false,” according to
the amended affidavit. It states the pair are aware of their power so
knew their statements “would cause alarm.”
The
original affidavit, filed by Guerline Joseph on behalf of the national
nonprofit the Haitian Bridge Alliance (HBA), asks a Municipal Court
judge to charge Vance and Trump with disrupting public services, making
false alarms, two counts of complicity, two counts of telecommunications
harassment and aggravated menacing.
The HBA asks that the court find probable cause for the charges and issue arrest warrants for Trump and Vance.
Under
Ohio law, a private citizen seeking to “cause an arrest or prosecution”
can file an affidavit with “a reviewing official” — a judge,
prosecuting attorney or magistrate — to have them review the facts and
decide if a complaint should be filed.
This is the American Dream in action. Citizens instigating criminal prosecutions, or trying to, against two super-assholes who really deserve being dragged over the rocks a bit for how they have ill-behaved, causing death threats and worry in a quaint little town adapting to an influx of willing workers. Trump and Vance admit, or Vance at least, admits to knowingly instigating false and harmful statements, "making up stories" in Vance-speak, to demonize innocent displaced persons.
It is flat out lying, to be harmful to people he doesn't even know, nor care about. It is deserving of scorn and official action. Let us hope the Haitians get due legal redress.
Hat tip to Aljezeera for international coverage of pissed off Haitians and their reliance on rule of law. The world should know of those two bozos getting their comeuppance, or at least the effort is made, and may justice be served.
The lawyers for the two election officials in Georgia got a big civil award for their clients against Rudy, where he's wrestling with the outcome.
There may be more to this story, should there be a discernible Hairtian class that could sue, for class-wide damages. Punitive damages, i.e. exemplary damages for the egregiousness of the Trump-Vance lying and its harm would seem due, should a suitable jury be impaneled in a civil suit for harm caused.
The outrage might have a payday.
Bless the good Haitians, should it pay off.
Calling somebody a dog thief and eater is beyond the pale. Worse, cats too! Hammer those two over earned liability for repercussions. They deserve it.
Guardian presents two debate navel gazing items, where a reader can read something into them. A panel, (buffet output), you agree with the panelist closest to your biases: here. Second, single author, not a panelist, with the author's photo above. 
