Saturday, May 23, 2026

This is a place where confusion hits me. Gary Gross, a Republican blogger in Minnesota posts a "should do" thing almost saying TACO, but not; and it is as if he presumes a "can do" scenario. Without any discussion, that way.

 So never mind the "wants to move the needle" vs "wants to drag out the status quo" as to Trump loyalties and beliefs of what is best for people close, vs people far away. Leave that open for now.

"Should do" before examining "can do," where is good sense in that equation?

Gary writes,

Donald Trump's moment of truth

  It's decision time on Iran's cease-fire. What started out as a 2-week cease-fire is now approaching a 2-month cease-fire. It's time for Donald Trump to decide if the IRGC dies this week or if they get yet another undeserved reprieve. Mark Levin's op-ed lays things out properly, saying "When we suddenly hit the brakes and called off the planned military operation against the Iranian regime, it was clear that something was going on. We gave the regime 2-3 days to come to some arrangement that presumably includes no nukes. What does no nukes mean? Are their scientists going to forget what they developed? How long can we keep that in a box? What happens to the enriched uranium? We are told: 1. they have enough to make 10 bombs in 11 days, and 2. that it takes a matter of weeks to further enrich uranium from 60% to 90% nuclear grade. What about the plutonium, which no one is talking about?"

The Trump administration's standard defense of their strategy has consisted of saying that a) 'we aren't in a hurry', b) the fundamentals of our economy are solid, c) we should give diplomacy a shot and d) we've got Iran on the ropes. First, the fundamentals don't include gas prices, which are way too high! Further, they've been way too high for way too long.

The prices would've dropped if President Trump hadn't gotten cold feet and agreed to a cease-fire that's lasted too long, too. This has played into the IRGC's survival plans perfectly. When President Trump made it known that he didn't have the stomach for killing the IRGC, they took that as weakness. This report from Trey Yingst from Tel Aviv, Israel is the best report I've seen recently:  

[...] It's time to rid the planet of the scourge of the IRGC forever. This isn't the time to go wobbly as Lady Thatcher once famously told George H.W. Bush after Iraq invaded Kuwait in the summer of 1990.

This moment is President Trump's defining moment, the decision he'll be remembered for, his legacy. If he obliterates the IRGC, he'll be remembered as a great president. If she [sic] lets the IRGC drag this thing out, then he's just another ordinary president.

That's an editorial position that assumes a lot, which might not be as assumed, in reaching such conclusions.

It might be too much of a stretch, but Crabgrass is betting that Hormuz will continue to be under Iranian control, and closed, even after election day, this November. I may email Gary, and propose that bet.