Tuesday, December 27, 2022

Like every American should be, I am concerned. Concerned enough to post about Project Hamilton, and "Project Hamilton’s funding and engagement with the private sector as they seek to develop a CBDC," where one may reasonably wonder, "how the Fed plans to address concerns that many have regarding the dangers a CBDC could pose to financial privacy and financial freedom, which were the subject of over 65% of the letters in response to the Fed’s January 2022 report on CBDCs." That's quoting from a Dec. 1, 2022, Tom Emmer press release concerning a letter of equal date to the head of the Boston Fed. (from Republican Reps Emmer and McHenry, joined in that letter of inquiry by seven House colleagues - italics emphasis added, not in the original)

 

link

 

Better late to learn of MN CD6 Rep Tom Emmer serving the hustings by asking, with colleagues, a patently obvious question. Boston Fed and MIT collaborated in a "Project Hamilton" regarding potential implementation technology, dimensions and concerns over a possible CBDC:( "Shuttering," i.e., termination/completion of Project Hamilton being noticed online as posted Dec. 23, 2022; i.e., days ago.)

First, wtf is a CBDC readers might ask. CBDC is an acronym, for Central Bank Digital Currency. Two links: a generic CBDC websearch gives CBDC background, while this link is specific to "Project Hamilton" web content. 

From there interested readers can do further research.

Next - Your Whitehouse at work for you, (by consideration of CBDC questions and potential in the context of a linked Sept. 2022 multi-page pdf government report), per a seemingly innocuous Sept. 2022 whitehouse.gov posted notification stating in part:

Digital assets R&D agenda

Following a recommendation in the report, OSTP and the National Science Foundation will lead an interagency effort to develop a National Digital Assets Research and Development (R&D) Agenda. This agenda will place a high priority on advancing research on topics like cryptography that could be helpful to CBDC experimentation and development at the Federal Reserve. This agenda will also cover topics less related to CBDCs; for example, working with consumer protection experts, it might support innovations that increase financial inclusion and equity in the digital assets ecosystem without placing already-financially vulnerable communities at greater risk.

This R&D agenda will take an whole-of-government approach, consistent with the President’s directive to place the highest urgency on R&D efforts related to CBDCs, as well as the fiscal year 2024 budget priority that requests that Federal departments and agencies collaborate on critical and emerging technologies, including financial technologies. This will help bring the Federal Government’s resources and expertise to bear on hard questions related to digital assets.

This report helps advance the mission of the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy, which is to maximize the benefits of science and technology to advance health, prosperity, security, environmental quality, and justice for all Americans. The American people deserve to fully benefit from technological possibilities like a U.S. CBDC, while being protected from the harms it could bring.

We look forward to continue advancing President Biden’s priorities on digital assets.

So that is clear proof of an agenda in motion, presently, and those last two paragraphs bring to mind Reagan's aphorism about, " I'm from the government and here to help you," being words of dread.

 The Emmer-McHenry letter, online and by web capture - READ IT:

click each image to enlarge and read

Those questions are important. Whose private sector participation happened? Has that led to private parties having some future regulatory advantage? What is this intended to lead into?

In effect, the project happened, it was somehow funded and coordinated among the players - so who are the players besides MIT and Boston Fed?

What is of major concern, that such key information was not published up front by MIT and Boston Fed, to where Congressmen had to ask. With the obvious ramifications of benefit to those taking part, information is power, and power and information can have major monetary advantage.

Whose game? That is the question. MIT and Fed people come and go, the door revolves and start-ups happen in the regular course of business. But this effort transcends the regular course of business. Funding can have wrinkles. What's up?


Now you know a bit about what's happening, a caveat. This is something Crabgrass is learning more and more about via looking into the FTX - SBF collapse with underlings turning into plea bargainers and all, SBF on an airplane to the U.S. before that "cooperation" was made public - plus crypto hype,CBDC movements, the MetaMask app-scam - - - with all that where the learning curve is steep and Crabgrass not claiming any special expertise in learning while posting.  

Caveat emptor is one pole of worry per an unregulated crypto world, while tight centralized digital money poses its own other threats as the other pole. You need a trustworthy product if it is to be a help; but trusting the Fed, (run after all by bankers and the government primarily for the health and well being of bankers - and coincidentally of course, for softening business cycle woes for the public too), has its own privacy worry with direct cash dealings fading and traceable digital dealings being a thicket of "big government" worry.

Crypto was on the ropes before FTX went splat in its Nov. 2022 bankruptcy filing, with that whitehouse.gov stuff getting out a Sept. 2022 notice to curiously precede the splat by mere months. And -

That whitehouse.gov posting links to an Executive Order 14067, which regular citizens at the time never heard of, and two official published online study writeups: six pages on CBDC policy objectives; fifty-eight pages on CBDC technical aspects.

 And that was September, this year. Months before FTX went splat. Months after the cryptocurrency bubble burst, this spring, with crypto values plunging.

Coincidences are of interest, including SEC handling of its own crypto-related agenda, prior to the FTX collapse. (That being its own story deserving its own post.) And an interagency task force executive thing, an Executive Order, posted but not made a hot media coverage thing while we mere citizens know nothing of whether there was White House specific notice to and involvement of the Congressional Blockchain Caucus, as the White House went about its various moves in forming a CBDC agenda.

The Emmer press release from which the Crabgrass headline quotes, is online here.  In part, it notes:

Congressman Tom Emmer (MN-06), the Ranking Republican on the House Financial Services Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations, led a letter with Ranking Member Patrick McHenry (NC-10) to Susan Collins, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, about “Project Hamilton,” an initiative to research the development of a central bank digital currency (CBDC).

A central bank digital currency is a programmable digital currency issued from a federal reserve. If the CBDC is not crafted with the values of transparency in mind, the currency falls at risk to the financial privacy violations currently on display in China.

It has come to Congress’s attention that some firms participating in Project Hamilton intend to use government resources from the project to design a CBDC with the intent to then sell those products to commercial banks.

Emmer said, “Any U.S. CBDC must be open, permissionless, and private.”

“The more we learn about the Boston Fed’s work on Project Hamilton, the more we have become concerned with the lack of transparency, especially as it relates to their partnership with the private sector. The unfair advantage that some private companies could enjoy from this partnership and the failure to ensure the principles of privacy, sovereignty, and free markets should be concerning to every American,” Emmer concluded.

[...] Emmer has long expressed concern about the implementation of a U.S. CBDC. In January, Emmer introduced a bill to prohibit the Federal Reserve from issuing a CBDC directly to individuals. You can read more about that bill here.

[italics added]

Having a Blockchain Caucus seems a public good, with there being multiple flavors of blockchain, as well as multiple potentials. Emmer appears still as enthusiastic about blockchain and as cautious about CBDC as he was before the FTX collapse, which might be a good thing. Opinions differ

All I know is what I read on the Internet.

_________UPDATE________

One paragraph from the Emmer press release issued to give notice of the letter to the Boston Fed -

A central bank digital currency is a programmable digital currency issued from a federal reserve. If the CBDC is not crafted with the values of transparency in mind, the currency falls at risk to the financial privacy violations currently on display in China.

That is not entirely clear re "transparency" yet still a heavily loaded thought. Link. Wikipedia. Wired, in anecdotal story form, from Dec. 2017. Indications are consolidation of centralized government systems in China since 2017.

Where we in the U.S. might be along that road is a separate story, as in the E.U., but the China allusion is sobering. Whether we need a CBDC to get there or not, we are on a trajectory where a tightly monitored CBDC blockchain implementation might assist the trajectory, so that it is proper for Emmer to suggest concern, e.g., buying an over the counter medication at a CVS outlet for cash vs on a to-be-implemented tracking and storage system related to a Fed issued CBDC with overreaching capability. More than minimally needed to provide security, reliability, and trust would be too much. Or is the worry only if you have something clearly wished to be hidden?

Presume that MIT - Boston Fed utilized funding and extended design help from a credit scoring firm with a big growing database. Does that change how you regard the Emmer inquiry or attention? Whether blockchain implementations can be formulated with less anonymity than bitcoin's is a technical question Crabgrass cannot presently answer, the guess being they can, and "money laundering" and "terrorism" are topics pulled out and waved at us if we think where in our lives anonymity might be a benefit to pursue. You're not a terrorist or money launderer, so - Since you're not one of the bad guys, why should you worry? Eh?

FURTHER: Atlanta Fed, re retail payments in cash.


_________FURTHER UPDATE________

Emmer text quoted in the headline, " . . . regarding the dangers a CBDC could pose to financial privacy and financial freedom, which were the subject of over 65% of the letters in response to the Fed’s January 2022 report on CBDCs."

The suggestion of that 65% datum that privacy matters are important to people is hard to deny.

BACKGROUND: That January 2022 report is online here. A Fed intro notice, here, states:

The paper summarizes the current state of the domestic payments system and discusses the different types of digital payment methods and assets that have emerged in recent years, including stablecoins and other cryptocurrencies. It concludes by examining the potential benefits and risks of a CBDC, and identifies specific policy considerations.

Consumers and businesses have long held and transferred money in digital form, via bank accounts, online transactions, or payment apps. The forms of money used in those transactions are liabilities of private entities, such as commercial banks. Conversely, a CBDC would be a liability of a central bank, like the Federal Reserve.

While a CBDC could provide a safe, digital payment option for households and businesses as the payments system continues to evolve, and may result in faster payment options between countries, there may also be downsides. They include how to ensure a CBDC would preserve monetary and financial stability as well as complement existing means of payment. Other key policy considerations include how to preserve the privacy of citizens and maintain the ability to combat illicit finance. The paper discusses these and other factors in more detail.

To fully evaluate a potential CBDC, Money and Payments: The U.S. Dollar in the Age of Digital Transformation (PDF) asks for public comment on more than 20 questions. Comments will be accepted for 120 days and can be submitted here.

That comment period has ended, and 65% of the comments were alluded to by Emmer. 

FURTHER: Bloomberg, up to the subscription wall, reports -

The Treasury Department’s top official for financial markets and stability expressed little urgency over the federal government’s need to prepare for the potential launch of a digital US dollar.

Regulators need to examine whether a central bank digital currency — or CBDC — would actually improve the speed or cost of real time interbank payments, which the Federal Reserve is aiming to introduce in 2023, said Nellie Liang, undersecretary for domestic finance at the Treasury.

That suggests that interbank transactions are the more immediate consideration over a CBDC for the general public, while the impact of cryptocurrency failure events might end up having an acceleration effect upon central bank takeover of the market space, with/without decentralization and anonymity. Readers - Guess at it. 

FURTHER: From https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/files/2022032pap.pdf

The lead page title and abstract:

 
Retail CBDC and U.S. Monetary Policy
Implementation: A Stylized Balance Sheet Analysis

Matthew Malloy, Francis Martinez, Mary-Frances Styczynski, and Alex Thorp - April 2022


Abstract
This paper discusses how a Federal Reserve issued retail central bank digital currency (CBDC) could affect U.S. monetary policy implementation. Using a stylized balance sheet analysis, we analyze the effect a retail CBDC could have on the balance sheets of the Federal Reserve, commercial banks, and U.S. households. Then we consider how these balance sheet changes could affect monetary policy implementation for the Federal Reserve. We illustrate that the potential effects on monetary policy implementation from a retail CBDC are highly dependent on the initial conditions of the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet. Moreover, the analysis demonstrates how the Federal Reserve may use its existing tools to manage the effects of a retail CBDC on monetary policy implementation.

FURTHER: Cato Institute is  firmly against a CBDC and especially if it would involve Fed or Treasury getting into retail banking with regular citizen accounts. The belief is that banking is a private sector privilege not to be preempted by government.

SEE, This pdf report from Cato Institute, "Central Bank Digital Currency: Assessing the Risks and Dispelling the Myths  - In the case of a CBDC, however, the digital dollars would be a liability of the central bank itself." November 18, 2022 • Working Paper No. 70" -- By Nicholas Anthony and Norbert Michel

Readers might need to face a "not a robot" capcha, here, to get to the pdf. The report's abstract:

Central bank digital currencies, or CBDCs, have the potential to radically transform the American financial system. They are no longer merely academic musings. Rather, CBDCs have gained the attention of politicians, central bankers, the tech industry, and even the broader public. Government officials, in the United States and abroad, are now actively working to implement CBDCs and solidify government control over payments systems. But this experiment should be left on the drawing board because CBDCs ultimately usurp the private sector and endanger Americans’ core freedoms. They have no place in the American economy. Congress should explicitly prohibit the Federal Reserve (the Fed) and the Department of the Treasury (Treasury) from issuing a CBDC in any form.

One of the report's authors expressed comparable thinking in an extensively linked Forbes op-ed dated Dec. 15, 2022.

38 + 2 -- Ride to Remember coverage.

 Sorensen, who posts at https://www.bluestemprairie.com/ writes of it. This link.

https://www.mankatofreepress.com/ coverage at this link.

StarBeacon coverage.

 Additional links. It happened. It should not be forgotten.

Thursday, December 15, 2022

Justice Taney bust in the Capitol to be replaced with a bust of Justice Thurgood Marshall. That is the good news. The bad news is, if WaPo reporting got a quote accurately, Steney Hoyer said something extremely ignorant, or had a clear senior moment.

 WaPo here, and the entire report is worth reading. The story, Congress voted - both Houses, by a voice vote each - to remove the bust in the Capitol of Chief Justice Roger Taney, author of the Dred Scott decision, to be replaced with a bust of Justice Thurgood Marshall.

The paragraph of interest, mid-item:

Hoyer told reporters Tuesday that Taney’s interpretation of the Constitution is one that every American should reject. “The good news is not only are we replacing the Taney statue but we also provide for a bust of Chief Justice Marshall,” Hoyer said.

While Rep.  Hoyer is not old enough to have lived to remember either Taney or Chief Justice Marshall (John Marshall, per Marbary v. Madison, etc.), to have been speaking from personal recollection, he was well alive and in his prime when Thurgood Marshall, was an Associate Justice serving under Chief Justice Warren into the term of Chief Justice Burgher, after he was nominated to serve on the Court in 1967 by Lyndon Johnson

Thurgood Marshall's most renowned case argued before the Court was Brown v. Board of Education, in 1954. 

Thurgood Marshall was succeeded on the Court by the second black man to serve there, the inauspicious _____________, confirmed by the Senate, Joe Biden presiding; _____________, having been nominated by George "Willie Horton" Bush, when Missouri Senator John Danforth put forward _____________'s name to Bush for nomination.

Crabgrass sees that latter nomination and appointment as a sacrilege to the memory of Justice Marshall and his range of litigated major civil rights accomplishments.


Wednesday, December 14, 2022

Besides SBF, the others, what of them? Caroline Ellison reportedly is lawyering up, with heavyweights.

 Alameda Research ex-CEO hires SEC’s former top crypto cop in FTX probe | Fortune

She was said to be in Hong Kong. However -

Sam Bankman-Fried's ex Caroline Ellison spotted in NYC (nypost.com)

Three NY Times item are helpful in understanding the SBF - FTX spiral.

 Changpeng Zhao, the founder and chief executive of Binance, was part of a group chat on Signal with key crypto leaders as the rival exchange FTX collapsed. From Dec 9, NYT reporting, Zhao worried that SBF was conducting himself in ways endangering the entire crypto market and market players. Emails were attained by NYT about the interactions among crypto executives.

The health of Thether a key trading firm with its Tether "Stable Coin" crypto pegged to the dollar, was a worry to Zhao. Thether was and for now remains a major player in crypto redemptions, cashing in crypto in exchange for dollars. The continuance of a healthy functionary that way is of obvious importance and Zhao believed SBF was engaging in destabilizing conduct.

Days earlier, a Dec. 7 NYT item suggested SBF was under investigation for market manipulation related to the collapse of an earlier crypto currency:

In May, major cryptocurrency market makers — exchanges or individuals who arrange for buyers and sellers to be matched — noticed a flood of “sell” orders coming in for TerraUSD, said one person with knowledge of the market activity. The orders were in small denominations, but they were placed very quickly, the person said.

The sudden jump in sell orders for TerraUSD overwhelmed the system, making it hard to find matching “buy” orders for them. Under normal conditions, any sell orders that remained unfulfilled for too long would be matched with buy orders at a lower price. The longer the orders lingered without being matched, the more they forced down the price of TerraUSD and caused a corresponding drop in Luna prices because of the way the two coins were linked.

The exact causes of the collapse of the two cryptocurrencies remain unclear. However, the bulk of the sell orders for TerraUSD appeared to be coming from one place: Sam Bankman-Fried’s cryptocurrency trading firm, which also placed a big bet on the price of Luna falling, according to the person with knowledge of the market activity.

 Finally, this Dec. 12 NYT item examines exposure possibilities of SBF's parents, who SBF identifies as not insiders, but useful idiots; more or less.

Should authorities vigorously pursue the parents' involvement as possibly having civil or criminal dimensions, they can be dragged over the rocks by the governmental deep pocket to where they may end up bankrupted, or nearly there. To the degree SBF cares for his parents' welfare, this may be an avenue of leverage the feds hold over SBF as events unfold.

Cooperation can vary in degree, from admitting "I fucked up" fault and having memory lapses without records to refresh memory, to something beyond that, depending on whether there is leverage.

From prior written submitted Testimony of Mr. John J. Ray III, CEO, FTX Debtors, December 13, 2022, House Financial Services Committee, there exist many loose ends and unanswered questions about extent and whereabouts of possible off-books FTX assets. Leverage over SBF beyond his personal exposure might help unravel the thicket within bankruptcy proceedings. Maximizing the return to creditors there being the goal, down to the bone pickings.

Not that use of the parents that way appeals to a sense of fairness. But the feds do as they like. As they think best.

In that sense, in closing, the feds having effectively canceled SBF testifying at the Dec. 13 FinServ hearing may have been over a possible concern of the feds to lessen tensions in the crypto market by keeping SBF off record because things he might have said might have adversely impacted the now sensitive public trust held in the entire crypto segment.

The question of why an appearance and testimony was quelled was raised in earlier Crabgrass posting. Something is going on. The range of questions at present is intriguing, and whether many get suitably answered is anybody's guess. The feds know more than the public. That is one certainty. But not too helpful a certainty, as we wonder and speculate. And wait.

Tuesday, December 13, 2022

An earlier version of this post was withdrawn as in error. Samuel Bankman-Fried has been sued by the SEC in a civil action. Also, an indictment exists.

 Link. Federal Indictment news, with a pdf copy of the indictment posted

Related. SBF in custody, held by Bahamian authorities.

The SEC page commentary on the civil action, with a pdf copy of the complaint available.

Sam BF indicted ahead of Trump could be a headline. Not that they interacted at all, just which shoe dropped first.

SBF's confederates and affiliated persons so far appear to not be named as civil law defendants nor indicted in government court cases. That is at least so, in what Crabgrass has encountered online.

BOTTOM LINE: Both an indictment and civil securities law based action exist, with the best understanding Crabgrass has is that the SEC already has filed, and the indictment will be filed tomorrow.

Apologies to earlier readers who may have accessed the erroneous earlier post. 

UPDATE: The Indictment seeks forfeiture, and the bankruptcy court will be seeking clawbacks. The bottom line as to property, SBF will end up with none that has not been artifully hidden away, if there is any of that, and a personal bankruptcy is likely, beyond the business entities involved presently in bankruptcy court.

And other persons are likely to face civil SEC actions and Indictments. The Moonstone Bank situation apparently has not yet been specifically pleaded, by name, but machinery is working. The final Indictment count, the campaign finance law indictment count is of interest as to what evidence will end up in court about that thicket. And clawback dimensions of wrongful money having been infused into and already spent by politicians and political consultants will resonate for some time.

Last, SBF and colleagues had to sense the walls closing in on them. Tense times near the end, but keeping the story going as long as possible with believers still there at the end. It must have been stressful times for the perps and the victims.

People who had money and chased profit making dreams, now holding positions worth nothing, is not the best holiday news. Fool and money soon parted may be said, but it is not at all a cheerful analysis. Trusting crypto, and others are still in that troubled market.

__________UPDATE________

This item by Johnathan Turley coalesced vague thoughts kicking around in my own mind. As in why now, for what purpose would two executive branches of the federal government move in concert with one another and with Bahamian authorities to promptly ice SBF in waning minutes to shut down anticipated next-day Congressional testimony:


The Justice Department Faces Questions After Effectively Preventing Bankman-Fried from Testifying in Congress

The arrest of Sam Bankman-Fried yesterday was sudden and unexpected in light of Bankman-Fried’s plan to testify before Congress. As a criminal defense attorney, my reaction to the arrest last night remains unchanged: this is the first time that I can recall where prosecutors moved aggressively to stop a defendant from making self-incriminating statements. His testimony would have been entirely admissible and likely devastating at trial.

I previously wrote how Bankman-Fried was doing harm to his case by speaking in the media and to Congress. So why would the Justice Department move to stop the self-inflicted damage? You have a major target who was about to voluntarily testify for hours.

That is ordinarily a dream for prosecutors, but the Justice Department moved quickly to prevent that from happening. At that stage, Bankman-Fried was not charged or in custody. He was not protected by Miranda or other constitutional rules from self-incriminating statements.

Indeed, some of us had already warned that he was causing himself considerable damage in making such statements. This was a defendant with a large legal team facing possible criminal charges who seemed eager to speak about his actions and motivations. Most prosecutors would sit back, make popcorn, and watch this unfold.

The curious move led many to question whether the Biden Administration was eager to prevent questions on Bankman-Fried’s political contributions and associations. He was the second highest donor to Democratic causes in the last election cycle. His mother, a law professor at Stanford also heads a major Democratic campaign fund.

[...] The range of charges includes wire fraud, wire fraud conspiracy, securities fraud, securities fraud conspiracy, and money laundering.

Notably, the eight counts include violating campaign finance laws, a charge that could prove embarrassing for some powerful political interests.

The charges are on top of charges announced earlier Tuesday by the Securities and Exchange Commission, which alleged Bankman-Fried defrauded investors and used proceeds from investors to buy real estate on behalf of himself and family.

[...] The item goes further, but the seed is planted well by that quote.

First, the quickness of the coordinated move? The court papers appear well planned.

That suggests the decision to drop the shoe was a policy decision, not a matter of timely preparation. Full prior preparation, not sloppy paperwork, but - WHY NOW? 

To forestall the Ollie North improbable claim being dusted off and argued? Ollie used it to skate, but there was official motivation to move on then. What? SBF later to assert, uncertainty over what was heard in testimony and what his memory held, with the government likely having seized communication devices and/or all books and records now in the hands of the bankruptcy trusteeship.

Contrary to the assertion "first time" this time, Ollie North was the first time, and he skated. It is a plausible explanation, but - why not say so?

To cover up something else? To not imperil an ongoing investigation? If that, what target(s) and what expectation(s)? To go after crypto all together in one fell swoop? Not peicemeal? How the government moves next, after poisoning the Congressional hearing opportunity this week may show some reasoning, or none. We wait.

Because they wanted to. That is clear as a cause for their action, but why want such an apparently counterintuitive aim? What underlies the move? How quickly will there be follow-up? When and how? And who else beyond SBF direct affiliates are in the crosshairs? 

Nailing down a separation of banking and crypto, where the eastern Washington tiny bank with the Moonstone web presence will be made an example? Forestall SBF testimony now until he can be examined by DOJ agents about the bank? So that, perhaps, his testimony that way can be properly constructed? A consistent story of all he knows about others in crypto, and how they use banking? Money laundering by other nations or other nationals? Delving more into political contributions and non-public interrelationships attaching to the donor status, dealings between politicians and crypto community operators?

Saturday, December 10, 2022

There are secular seasonal songs, in honor of the separation of church and state.

link

 If you know the Goldberg Variations, there is this -



And, Rudolph, a classic -


Secular, uber alles!  Not this - unbind your mind, there is still time.