Those numbers speak for themselves. He has no choice. He has to rally beyond mailer items. He has to face dissatisfaction directly. In person. With candor. If he can. It's been his district. So it is his to lose. 20% of Republican voters are unlocked, going into the stretch run. Being party whip holds more gravitas to people in DC. He has to come in district and do politics, with a war that's unpopular and inflation that's rampant and unpopular. His seat at risk, means his duty of self-interest is to visit and convince.