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Wednesday, August 14, 2024

Kinda like JD Vance - or JD Vance is kinda like Putin. Apart from Trump - Russia dimensions - JD under the lens.

 Business Insider: Earlier this year -

Russian President Vladimir Putin hugs a crying baby as he greets local residents on March 6, 2020 in Ivanovo, 230 km east of Moscow, Russia.
Go ahead Vlad, kiss the little blighter.

JD has yet to be imaged baby-kissing, but we're still far from election day. At any rate, text within the BussIns story with that lead image:

Putin is once again telling Russians to have more babies, and this time he's saying ethnic survival is at stake

  • Russian President Vladimir Putin is telling the country's citizens to have more kids for ethnic survival.
  • Russia faces a demographic crunch with a shrinking population.
  • Russia's ongoing war in Ukraine has further exacerbated the country's labor shortage and brain drain.

Russian President Vladimir Putin is feeling the heat from a demographic crunch.

He's calling on Russians to have more babies to preserve their ethnicity, Reuters reported on Thursday.

"If we want to survive as an ethnic group — well, or as ethnic groups inhabiting Russia — there must be at least two children," Putin said at a tank factory, according to the news agency.

It's not enough just for each family to have one kid — because Russia's population would contract, Putin said, while issuing conflicting statements on how many kids families need to have.

"In order to expand and develop, you need at least three children," said Putin, per Reuters.

Russia was in a demographic crisis even before it invaded Ukraine in February 2022.

The country's population was 146.4 million at the beginning of 2023 — down from nearly 149 million in 1993, according to official statistics. However, this is up a low of around 143 million in the early 2010s.

The war is taking a toll on the population: Between 150,000 and 190,000 Russian soldiers have been killed or wounded in the war against Ukraine, the UK's Ministry of Defence wrote in an intelligence update in October.

An estimated 1 million people have also fled Russia during the war, deepening a brain drain and labor crunch in the country.

This is not the first time Putin has urged Russians to have more children.

In November, he extolled the virtues of large families, calling on women to have as many as eight children — if not more.

"Let us preserve and revive these excellent traditions. Large families must become the norm, a way of life for all of Russia's people. The family is not just the foundation of the state and society; it is a spiritual phenomenon, a source of morality," Putin said at the World Russian People's Council in Moscow.

Putin's call for more children echoes that of other leaders across the world. Notably, Chinese leader Xi Jinping said in October that women must help establish a "new trend of family" as the country faces a demographic ticking time bomb. In May 2021, China — which had for decades had a one-child policy — launched a new three-child policy, marking a landmark shift in the country.

Well, that's Putin. He opines, no controversy noted in U.S. mainstream media as arising among Russians in an organized or haphazard way. Just, Putin Says.

With JD, things are different (Although, if ethnicity is a factor, then as a bet, if JD gets into baby kissing it will be a white baby, even with him not saying white birth rate declines worry him more than otherwise). The Atlantic:  


Invasion of the Baby-Haters

Conservatives like J. D. Vance have invented a bogeyman of childlessness, and are using actual kids as political pawns.

A checkerboard made up of repeating portraits of Mary and Jesus, and broken up by a red-tinged photograph of J. D. Vance
Getty; Adam Maida / The Atlantic

Desperate times demand that America’s babies and children stand up and man the ramparts of the culture wars. The latest recruitment effort began with a declaration by the Ohio Senate candidate J. D. Vance, who held that the “childless left,” exemplified, in his view, by politicians like Pete Buttigieg, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Cory Booker, and Kamala Harris, is turning the country into a rump state of imperious cat ladies. “Let’s give votes to all children in this country,” Vance argued, by way of remedy, “but let’s give control over those votes to the parents of the children … We should worry that in America, family formation, our birth rates, a ton of indicators of family health have collapsed.” [...]

Vance’s proposal was a hit on Fox and Friends, and The Federalist’s publisher, Ben Domenech, picked up the line of thinking in another segment that aired on the network earlier this week, arguing, inter alia, that “woke, socialist progressives” hate babies “more than anything else,” and that the left detests the fact that there are children, period. All the usual suspects—radical environmentalists agitating for depopulation, career-oriented girl bosses, critical race theorists—made their usual appearances, each offered as evidence of a leftward political bent that’s thoroughly anti-child.

Is it so? Seldom has it been harder to say what huge political coalitions like “the left” and “the right”—which, in the United States, are primarily characterized at the moment by infighting and high-stakes factionalism—think as corporate entities. Nor is it easy to make a statement about politics or culture that will actually be received with any kind of sincerity. [...]

[...] If you want to find a self-identified progressive chastising breeders for saturating the planet with carbon-emitting, snot-slinging vectors of pollution and disease, some social-media site’s genius algorithm will serve such a person up to you without delay. Now that political victories are scored in liberal tears or conservative outrage, the incentives to pursue anything else are fairly minimal.

With all that being said, allow me to violate my own common sense and say what I believe to be true: If socialist progressives are inveterate childless baby-haters, this is news to me, my husband, and the two children I birthed before age 30. We’re fairly fond of the critters around here, [...] But whatever one’s beliefs about which policies most benefit children—universal health care; paid parental leave; free child care, pre-K, and school lunches, in my opinion—a political conversation that favors kids has to take children as its subject. This current discourse does not.

Instead, it’s concerned with adults, and the decisions, personal or political, that cause them to opt into or out of parenthood. This much is especially clear in Vance’s rhetoric, which identifies the “childless left” as the source of America’s woes, and suggests meting out more votes to parents to right those putative wrongs. [...]

And yet, there is a kind of pro-child politics that is focused on children themselves, as opposed to the adults who do or do not have them [...] It involves careful tinkering with programs, such as the child tax credit, that relieve childhood poverty if administered correctly (ideally, as it turns out, not by the IRS) and designed well (without prejudice against the poorest families). It’s stolidly focused on children and the things they need: peace, good health, food, shelter, education and development, love, care, space and time to learn and grow.

[...] Alas, that is not our approach, and our children are worse off for it.

Enough. Or not? HuffPo tirelessly and methodically catalogs much JD instances of his child-using culture warfare, read it there with links, and only this image from the item:

Republican vice presidential nominee Sen. JD Vance (Ohio) carries his daughter Maribel as he greets supporters at the Park Diner on July 28, 2024 in St. Cloud, Minnesota.
Not ethnicity biased. It's his daughter.

 

 However, ethnicity rears up in turn, in another image in the HuffPo item, baby and sign, and background people, lots of whites, nothing else. A Republican bias of which we already know. NewYorker, Forbes, DemocracyNow, with a can't pass up JD gem of wisdom (bias? no, wisdom, really):

JD VANCE: I worry that it makes people more sociopathic and, ultimately, our whole country a little bit less — less mentally stable. And, of course, you talk about going on Twitter. Final point I’ll make is, you go on Twitter, and almost always the people who are most deranged and most psychotic are people who don’t have kids at home.

Cut Putin some slack? He does not impugn the mental state of the childless, it takes more of a settled, certain mind to go there. Vance did convert to Catholicism. DailyBeast expands upon that JD "defective minds" outlook toward childless folks.

Readers can search the web for more, but in closing, CNN and this Florida outlet re JD "selling out seniors," to add more capture of the venom of JD and his dogma, while NPR adds a priceless "this is JD's culture war essence" image along with its story:

Edith Bouvier Beale at her home

Readers getting an impression Crabgrass believes JD can be a smug asshole rivaling Trump atop the ticket, well, it's not exactly a hidden viewpoint. It's there.

___________FURTHER UPDATE_____________

Data are always useful, in parsing opinions and inclinations.

Below a few items on birth rates and demographics are listed, with the first item being a representative search done to generate a part of the list. Readers will have to on their own dig into the detail. Crabgrass sees a trend suggestion that things are not dire, as JD might want people to think. It seems his policies are more alarmists and colored by his religion where the Vatican is not hesitant to articulate its life policy preferences. (Including opposition to contraception as well as to abortion.)

Crabgrass believes JD and family are free to manage their affairs as they wish, in privacy, and should respect the equal privacy rights of others, i.e., mind your own business and you won't be minding mine. Gentler terminology is not needed.

There are two Russian primary text items one by Rand, shortly after the Soviet Union collapsed, and one from later this century but before war with Ukraine.

Otherwise it is a demographic - and - birthrate buffet. (Listed links are hot links, i.e., cut/paste should not be necessary.)  Possibly there are broken links. The list is representative, not aimed to be exhaustive, and readers are ureged to search demographics on their own.

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birth rates population demographics u.s. at DuckDuckGo
https://duckduckgo.com/?q=birth+rates+population+demographics+u.s.+&atb=v383-1&ia=web
    The World's Most Powerful Men Want Women to Have More Babies - Business Insider
https://www.businessinsider.com/powerful-men-women-more-babies-xi-putin-kim-jong-un-2023-12
    Demographic Turning Points for the United Sates: Population Projections for 2020 to 2060 - p25-1144.pdf
https://www.census.gov/content/dam/Census/library/publications/2020/demo/p25-1144.pdf
    Population Dynamics in Russia in the Context of Global Trends - PMC
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9321303/
    RusEc2204009Shcherbakova.fm - S1075700722040098.pdf
https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1134/S1075700722040098.pdf
    Dire Demographic Trends Cast A Shadow on Russia's Future | RAND
https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB5054.html
    Russia vs. United States - demographics comparison
https://www.indexmundi.com/factbook/compare/russia.united-states/demographics
    United States vs. Mexico - demographics comparison
https://www.indexmundi.com/factbook/compare/united-states.mexico/demographics
    Russia Birth Rate 1950-2024 | MacroTrends
https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/RUS/russia/birth-rate
    Mexico Birth Rate 1950-2024 | MacroTrends
https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/MEX/mexico/birth-rate
    U.S. Birth Rate 1950-2024 | MacroTrends
https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/USA/united-states/birth-rate
    Demographics of Mexico - Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Mexico
    Demographics of the United States - Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_the_United_States
    Demographics of Israel - Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Israel
    Mexico Demographics 2024 (Population, Age, Sex, Trends) - Worldometer
https://www.worldometers.info/demographics/mexico-demographics/
    Health, United States 2020-2021 - brth.pdf
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/hus/2020-2021/brth.pdf
    US population by year, race, age, ethnicity, & more | USAFacts
https://usafacts.org/data/topics/people-society/population-and-demographics/our-changing-population/
    How have US fertility and birth rates changed over time?
https://usafacts.org/articles/how-have-us-fertility-and-birth-rates-changed-over-time/
    Percentage of births by race/ethnicity: United States, 2020-2022 Average | PeriStats | March of Dimes
https://www.marchofdimes.org/peristats/data?reg=99&top=2&stop=10&slev=4&obj=3
    UNdata | record view | Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
https://data.un.org/Data.aspx?d=PopDiv&f=variableID%3A53
    Demography-ENG-2023-2.pdf
https://www.taubcenter.org.il/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Demography-ENG-2023-2.pdf
    The National Significance of Israeli Demographics at the Outset of a New Decade | INSS
https://www.inss.org.il/strategic_assessment/israeli-demographics/