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Sunday, August 27, 2023

The Murdoch managed Republican friends together in a Trump-free situation was a blip in time. It will pass. Meanwhile punditry exists from Florida.

Simplifying things - single sourcing the post. Notice from the beginning, it is a local Florida outlet, https://floridapolitics.com/, hence unknown at Crabgrass. It could be pro-Republican, a Dem advocate, news only, or otherwise. From the items considered, the appearance is posting news of some sort.

Three items, each dated Aug. 26, 2023.

Post-debate poll finds Ron DeSantis nearly doubles support

 The Governor went from single digits to 18% in a new national survey.

In the latest sign that Wednesday night’s GOP presidential debate paid political dividends, Ron DeSantis is back in what one pollster calls a “solid” second place position afterwards.

An InsiderAdvantage national survey of 850 likely Republican caucus and primary voters conducted Thursday shows the Florida Governor with 18% support, nearly doubling his support from 9.7% in the previous administration of the poll Aug. 19 and Aug. 20.

DeSantis gained eight points in less than a week, and much of that came at the expense of the non-debating Donald Trump, who fell from 51% to 45%, meaning DeSantis’ deficit shrank from 41% to 27% in just a matter of days.

Nikki Haley is in third place in this poll, with 11% support. She previously was at just 4.8%, meaning she more than doubled her support after the debate in Milwaukee.

Vivek Ramaswamy has 7% support, a marginal improvement from the 6.3% he had previously.

“Although our survey showed that Vivek Ramaswamy won the debate by a narrow margin, Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley were the two major beneficiaries of the debate when it came to the actual horse race. [...]

Next:

Poll: Ron DeSantis at just 5% support with Republicans under the age of 55

 

Older voters are nearly 3 times more likely to back the Florida Governor, meanwhile.

New polling released after the GOP presidential debate shows an age gap when it comes to Ron DeSantis supporters.

A Léger survey conducted Wednesday and Thursday in conjunction with the New York Post shows that while DeSantis has 9% support overall (52 points behind Donald Trump, but in second place nonetheless), there is an age gap.

Voters 54 years old or younger are much less likely to back the Florida Governor’s 2024 bid for the Republican nomination than those 55 and up.

Among voters 18 to 34 years of age, DeSantis’ 5% puts him behind Mike Pence’s 6% and in a tie with Vivek Ramaswamy. Trump is at 58% with this group.

Among voters 35 to 54 years of age, DeSantis is still at 5%, putting him 3 points behind Ramaswamy with that cohort, and 59 points behind Trump’s 64% with this cohort.

Among voters 55 and older, DeSantis is in a much stronger position, with 14% support. While that’s 47 points behind Trump, the Governor is still 10 points ahead of Ramaswamy and Pence with the older crowd.

[...]

As a bet, he is less popular with Democrats of that younger age group. Last -

 

An internal DeSantis poll says the Governor's Iowa campaign benefited from the GOP presidential debate.

After a performance in the GOP presidential debate free of slip-ups, new polling from Iowa says Ron DeSantis is gaining ground on Donald Trump.

The survey from Public Opinion Strategies, a DeSantis pollster, shows the Florida Governor improving on a number of fronts, including the overall ballot test, which “shows DeSantis picking up significant ground since the debate. Both DeSantis and Nikki Haley saw significant increases in their ballot standing since before the debate, while Tim Scott and Vivek Ramaswamy both slipped back a bit.”

DeSantis has moved from 14% before the debate to 21% after the debate, per the new poll. That puts him 20 points behind Trump, but 10 points ahead of Haley and 14 points ahead of Ramaswamy and Scott.

Public Opinion Strategies also deems DeSantis the “clear winner” Wednesday, after he “won every single key ‘attribute’ among likely Iowa caucus-goers” among the eight candidates on stage. The Governor is seen as the “strongest conservative,” the “strongest leader,” the most “able to defeat” Joe Biden and Trump, and “strongest on border security.”

DeSantis also saw a +4 improvement in overall favorability, the polling memo notes, while “Trump, Ramaswamy, and Chris Christie were the big losers from the debate in terms of their image as each of these candidates had negative change in their net favorable-unfavorable.”

The pollster contends that more people than ever are ruling out Trump support.

“More than one-third of voters now say they are ‘NOT considering Trump’ — the highest figure we’ve seen,” the pollster notes.

Public Opinion Strategies also argues that Ramaswamy was simply a Trump proxy Wednesday night and that Iowans don’t intend to caucus for him.

 [...]

AND - You can take it to the bank! They'll laugh at you, but you can do it. 

This early, after a single Murdoch softball session, what does it mean with nobody asking Ron about whether Florida voter suppression is racial suppression, vs political suppression - blacks the target or Dems the target; with it clear Black Dems were disadvantaged.

Ron will be asked. Things are early and Murdoch will throw Ron softballs whenever possible.

Ron will have 'splaining to do. Aug. 24, 2023, NPR. About redistricting in litigation. 

Indirectly touching the question of impact of the suppression, itself, and how it came to be at Ron's insistance, which has repercussions regardless of how the litigation resolves. See, Politico, from over a year ago showing certain fingerprints all over the situational decision making.

Expect that within Republican environs neither Scott nor Ramaswamy will confront Ron as racist, they lose points by doing so. That confrontation will come. Democrats have likely already noticed.

The only apparent way Ron can dodge the confrontation ultimately happening nationally, is to lose the Republican nomination. Which is likely enough, but presently unclear.