consultants are sandburs

Tuesday, April 14, 2015

Drilled but not fraced, awaiting wells akin to dark fiber already laid, with bandwidth capability well beyond current demand; a supply glut with falling prices?

Strib staff reporting:

N.D. sees second consecutive monthly drop in oil output
Article by: DAVID SHAFFER , Star Tribune Updated: April 14, 2015 - 10:40 AM


[...] The number of rigs drilling for North Dakota oil and gas dropped to 91 this month, down from 108 in March and 160 in February, according to data released by the state Department of Mineral Resources. The peak of drillings was 370 rigs in October 2012, the department said in its Director’s Cut report.

The average wellhead price for North Dakota crude oil fell to $31.47 per barrel in March, but has recovered to $36.25 per barrel, the report said. The average price is based on light sweet crude prices posted at a Twin Cities refinery, minus delivery costs.

The report said the number of uncompleted wells in North Dakota rose to an estimated 900 at the end of February as drillers decided to hold off on the final step — injecting water, sand and chemicals to free gas and oil in the Bakken or Three Forks shale layers.

Oil field operators are postponing this work to avoid initial high oil production at low prices and to comply with the state’s recent requirement to reduce flaring of natural gas, the report by division Director Lynn Helms said.

The price elasticity down from hundred dollar barrels is interesting. What's not left stored in ground but extracted is constrained to shipping and piping capacities; storage tank capacities; and other interim storage avenues; all subject to futures contracts, consumption fluctuations, and future production levels producing nations choose worldwide, while there may be political or battlefield price-impact events, uncertain as to likelihoods of occurrence and predictable impact levels and ranges, in our uncertain times.

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